Mapping the heterogeneity of population response in different countries to the spread of COVID-19

Abstract

Geoinformation modeling and mapping were carried out and depicted in cartograms of the individual parameters of the models necessary for calculating the society response current indicators to spreading of the new coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic in various countries. The epidemic process is described in terms of the reliability theory by the accumulation of the disease frequency as the sum of the daily increase proportion in coronavirus infection’s confirmed cases. The Fréchet distribution function of the maximum values of the population reaction moments to contagion is used as a mathematical model for the growth trend. The statistical processing of spatial data is based on a non-dimensional indicator of integrated disease hazard and its linearized version, which enables calculating the mapped parameters of the model changing from country to country and indicating the efficiency of prevention and anti-epidemic measures implemented by the state and society