Mapping issues and envisaging futures: An evolutionary scenario approach

Are wildcard events on infrastructure systems opportunities for transformational change?

“…These events highlight the obvious challenges that infrastructure systems currently (and more so in the future) will need to tackle. Over the longer term, it is not just wildcard events that are of relevance to infrastructure systems but a range of what may be described as 'weak signals' are also prevalent (Saritas & Nugroho, 2012;Saritas & Smith, 2011). Whereas here we have focused on wildcard events on infrastructure systems i.e.…”

3-Domain Modelling

“…However, other categories like overall or sub branches can be implementing in RIM for other study needs. The columns present the categories used by [66] or [67] for other propose. Last rows describe potential typology and extend of impact particularly to the data-driven models (Table 3.2).…”

“…"Discontinuities refer to rapid and significant shifts in trajectories without the aspect of being mostly unanticipated or deeply surprising" [67]. An example of discontinuities is changes and innovations in technologies.…”

Single infrastructure utility provision to households: Technological feasibility study

“…Free-thinking and imagination were channelled to envision very different future infrastructure options, which were then expanded and described in "vignettes" [19]. The vignettes are fundamentally participatory, based on qualitative data, and follow normative narratives which aim to fix the desired future by identifying the necessary processes and mechanisms in emerging technological landscapes.…”