Abstract:When the Philippine government eased the community quarantine restrictions on June 2020, the healthcare system was overwhelmed by the surge in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases. In this study, we developed an SEIQR model considering behavior change and unreported cases to examine their impact on the COVID-19 case reports in Metro Manila during the early phase of the pandemic. We found that if behavior was changed one to four weeks earlier, then the cumulative number of cases can be reduced by up to 74%… Show more
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