Managed retreat as a response to natural hazard risk

Hino, Miyuki; Field, Christopher B.; Mach, Katharine J.

doi:10.1038/nclimate3252

Cited by 360 publications

(269 citation statements)

References 28 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

236

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Decisions taken now that retain or expand the physical adaptation space for planned future policy changes such as managed realignment [2] Close/Narrow adaptation space…”

Section: (B) Effects Of Decisions On Adaptive Capacitymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Decisions taken now that retain or expand the physical adaptation space for planned future policy changes such as managed realignment [2] Close/Narrow adaptation space Sustainability 2017, 9, 1408 5 of 17 Shoreline management plans are non-statutory policies for coastal flood and storm risk management in a changing climate [7] Reframed Existing windows that can be reframed to enable proactive adaptation decisions.…”

Section: Ephemeralmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Despite widespread calls and policy pronouncements articulating the urgency and need for society to adapt to climate change, there is still limited evidence of implementation of proactive coastal adaptation globally [2]. There appears to be a mismatch between the growing number of high level legislative and policy instruments supporting the development of proactive coastal adaptation [3] and actual implementation of dynamic and proactive adaptation.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…There appears to be a mismatch between the growing number of high level legislative and policy instruments supporting the development of proactive coastal adaptation [3] and actual implementation of dynamic and proactive adaptation. For example, new research by Hino et al [2] has shown that there are few global efforts to facilitate managed retreat of coastal development. This may be because there is a social and political reluctance to retreat and because we have tended to view the coastline as fixed, rather than as a dynamic interface that adjusts and moves (typically inland) as sea level rises [4].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 3 more Smart Citations

Making Space for Proactive Adaptation of Rapidly Changing Coasts: A Windows of Opportunity Approach

2017

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract:Coastlines are very often places where the impacts of global change are felt most keenly, and they are also often sites of high values and intense use for industry, human habitation, nature conservation and recreation. In many countries, coastlines are a key contested territory for planning for climate change, and also locations where development and conservation conflicts play out. As a "test bed" for climate change adaptation, coastal regions provide valuable, but highly diverse experiences and lessons. This paper sets out to explore the lessons of coastal planning and development for the implementation of proactive adaptation, and the possibility to move from adaptation visions to actual adaptation governance and planning. Using qualitative analysis of interviews and workshops, we first examine what the barriers are to proactive adaptation at the coast, and how current policy and practice frames are leading to avoidable lock-ins and other maladaptive decisions that are narrowing our adaptation options. Using examples from UK, we then identify adaptation windows that can be opened, reframed or transformed to set the course for proactive adaptation which links high level top-down legislative requirements with local bottom-up actions. We explore how these windows can be harnessed so that space for proactive adaptation increases and maladaptive decisions are reduced.

show abstract

“…Decisions taken now that retain or expand the physical adaptation space for planned future policy changes such as managed realignment [2] Close/Narrow adaptation space…”

Section: (B) Effects Of Decisions On Adaptive Capacitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Ephemeralmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Making Space for Proactive Adaptation of Rapidly Changing Coasts: A Windows of Opportunity Approach

2017

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Managed retreat as an adaptation to flood risk and climate change is much advocated but seldom achieved (Wong et al,2014;Hino et al,2017). We approach this subject with the view that many coastal locations globally will need to consider this option, where current risk is very high as a legacy of past decisions and where many communities will not be defendable against the sea level rise expected by 2100 (Nicholls et al,2010;Hauer et al,2016).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Managed Retreat: A Rare and Paradoxical Success, but Yielding a Dismal Prognosis

Braamskamp

Penning‐Rowsell

2018

EMSD

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Managed retreat (MR) involves permanent resettlement of existing households and communities away from areas at risk, here coastal flood risk. On post-Sandy Staten Island, New York, where MR has been successful, our research findings from interviews and a focus group of key stakeholders and commentators indicate there are very significant political impediments as well as financial constraints to MR programs being successful without the experience of a disaster and a repetitive sequence of hazardous events. Pre-disaster and long-term plans for reducing risks in such vulnerable areas are easy to advocate but not to implement. Many coastal locations globally will need some form of MR, where current risk is very high as a legacy of past decisions and where many communities will not be defendable against the expected future sea level rise. With leadership and community commitment locally MR agendas can and should be pursued: the optimistic scenario. But success appears likely only in the aftermath of a major disaster. This suggests strongly that we may have to await those inevitable disasters, and then be ready to act, rather than vice versa: a worrying conclusion and a dismal prognosis.

show abstract

Coupled urban change and natural hazard consequence model for community resilience planning

Sanderson

Cox

Amini

et al. 2022

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

With disasters occurring at the nexus of the built-natural-social environments (Mileti, 1999;Peek & Guikema, 2021), recent natural hazards have highlighted the need for disaster resilient communities (Koliou et al., 2018). Increasing community resilience has gained traction in recent years with local stakeholders, national, and global entities alike addressing community resilience and disaster risk reduction (e.g., NIST, 2016a; OSSPAC, 2013; SPUR, 2009; UNDRR, 2015). Simultaneously, however, complexities of increasing community resilience in an uncertain future are being identified. These complexities stem from a variety of sources and can include accelerating human activities, increased uncertainty in the built-natural-social environments, including climate change, and increased complexity of infrastructure systems themselves (Chester et al., 2021;Spies et al., 2014). Population growth, urban change, and a changing climate are expected to further contribute to increased exposure and societal losses associated with natural hazards in both the immediate and long-term future (

show abstract

Managed retreat as a response to natural hazard risk

Cited by 360 publications

References 28 publications

Making Space for Proactive Adaptation of Rapidly Changing Coasts: A Windows of Opportunity Approach

Making Space for Proactive Adaptation of Rapidly Changing Coasts: A Windows of Opportunity Approach

Managed Retreat: A Rare and Paradoxical Success, but Yielding a Dismal Prognosis

Coupled urban change and natural hazard consequence model for community resilience planning

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About