2022
DOI: 10.1109/access.2022.3189777
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MAGIC: A Method for Assessing Cyber Incidents Occurrence

Abstract: This research was supported in part by the "Cyber Risk Assessment Models and Algorithms (CybeRAMA)" project (Ref. 2019.0421), funded by the Cariverona Foundation within the "Research and Development 2018" call (https://cyberama.dii.univpm.it/).

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Cited by 6 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…The proposed CMC model was developed from the perspective of assessing capabilities, based on the information that we know with certainty and have available, both internally and externally, from the context where the organization operates, which are actions of the different levels of government of a country and the international community. A large number of works reviewed in the literature maintain the perspective of evaluating cyber risk, based on unknown information, using probabilities of possible incidents and their effects; historical data is generally not available and subjective methods end up being used, such as expert judgment [35].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The proposed CMC model was developed from the perspective of assessing capabilities, based on the information that we know with certainty and have available, both internally and externally, from the context where the organization operates, which are actions of the different levels of government of a country and the international community. A large number of works reviewed in the literature maintain the perspective of evaluating cyber risk, based on unknown information, using probabilities of possible incidents and their effects; historical data is generally not available and subjective methods end up being used, such as expert judgment [35].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Other probabilistic methods have been introduced, like MAGIC [4], which is a method that evaluates the probability of occurrence of cybersecurity risk. MAGIC is a probabilistic model that computes the likelihood of occurrence based on the organization's posture, like awareness of the employees, maturity and complexity, etc.…”
Section: Future Workmentioning
confidence: 99%