Macroeconomic modelling under energy constraints: Global low carbon transition scenarios

Nieto, Jaime Tatay; Carpintero, Óscar; Miguel, Luis; Blás, Ignacio de

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111090

Cited by 104 publications

(63 citation statements)

References 59 publications

(65 reference statements)

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“…The ability to manage post-growth economies will be the object of further work. 24,72 Fig . 3 shows the schematic overview of the Economy module of the MEDEAS framework.…”

Section: Description Of Medeas-world Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…¶ 73 The Leontief matrix L allows the model to estimate both direct and indirect production carriers of final monetary demand, measuring the production sensitivity to final monetary demand. See Nieto et al 72 for the analysis and discussion of different economic structure scenarios by setting a target A matrix to which the current one gradually evolves.…”

Section: Description Of Medeas-world Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…8,199,200 Thus, fast radical or structural transformations are excluded by definition in this scenario. For the specification of the BAU narrative through a consistent set of inputs, a varied and rich literature has been examined: scientific papers and technical documentation; 60,63,72,[201][202][203] reports and databases from international/national agencies and organizations such as the International Energy Agency, IRENA, the US Energy Information Administration or the UNEP; 79,92,160,161,[204][205][206][207] industry prospect assessments 208 and analyst investors, 209 which in some cases were complemented with own estimations (see Appendix A for details).…”

Section: Definition Of Scenario Casesmentioning

confidence: 99%

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MEDEAS: a new modeling framework integrating global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints

Capellán‐Pérez

Blás

Nieto

et al. 2020

Energy Environ. Sci.

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103

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“…The ability to manage post-growth economies will be the object of further work. 24,72 Fig . 3 shows the schematic overview of the Economy module of the MEDEAS framework.…”

Section: Description Of Medeas-world Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Description Of Medeas-world Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Definition Of Scenario Casesmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

MEDEAS: a new modeling framework integrating global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints

Capellán‐Pérez

Blás

Nieto

et al. 2020

Energy Environ. Sci.

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103

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show abstract

“…Apart from the work that has been carried out on (and combined with) policy-making, from an academic perspective, several efforts to model a sustainable energy model have been made. The MEDEAS project [40] is one of the best examples, a tool to design the transition into a 100% renewable energy system (RES) in Europe. This initiative considers three different scenarios to model the energetic macro-economic system from 1995 to 2050: Business as Usual (BAU), Green Growth (GG) and the Post-Growth or degrowth approach (PG).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

European Cities in the Energy Transition: A Preliminary Analysis of 27 Cities

et al. 2020

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Nowadays, there is a wide scientific consensus about the unsustainability of the current energy system and at the same time, social awareness about climate change and the IPCC’s goals is increasing in Europe. Amongst the different pathways towards them, one alternative is the radical transition to a democratic low-carbon energy system where the local scale has a key leading role. Under this scope, this research is framed within the mPOWER project, financed by the European Commission’s H2020 programme, which promotes collaboration among different European municipalities in order to boost the transition to a renewable-based participatory energy system. This paper presents the starting point of the mPOWER project, where the main energy features of 27 selected European municipalities are collected and analysed for the year 2016. An open public tender and selection process was carried out among European cities in order to choose the candidates to participate in mPOWER project. A view of this situation will be taken by the mPOWER project as a diagnostic baseline for the following steps: a peer-to-peer knowledge-sharing process among these European municipalities, and subsequently, among a more extensive group. The first finding of the paper is that, even if those municipalities are trying to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions, they are highly dependent on fossil fuels, even in cases where renewable energies have significant presence. Second, their energy consumption is logarithmically related to the human development index and gross domestic product but not to the size of the cities and their climate characteristics. Finally, despite the work that these cities are making towards energy transition in general and within the mPOWER project in particular, the paper shows a high difficulty mapping their energy systems. The lack of accurate and unified data by the municipalities is a sign of disempowerment at a local and public level in the energy sphere and makes difficult any strategy to advance towards a bottom-up energy transition. Among other goals, the mPOWER project aims to reveal these kinds of difficulties and help local authorities in managing their transition paths.

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“…Population evolves exogenously as defined by the user. See [102] for more details on this sub-module. The main characteristics of each module are:…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Global Sustainability Crossroads: A Participatory Simulation Game to Educate in the Energy and Sustainability Challenges of the 21st Century

2019

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There is a general need to facilitate citizens’ understanding of the global sustainability problem with the dual purpose of raising their awareness of the seriousness of the problem and helping them get closer to understanding the complexity of the solutions. Here, the design and application of the participatory simulation game Global Sustainability Crossroads is described, based on a global state-of-the-art energy–economy–environment model, which creates a virtual scenario where the participants are confronted with the design of climate mitigation strategies as well as the social, economic, and environmental consequences of decisions. The novelty of the game rests on the global scope and the representation of the drivers of anthropogenic emissions within the MEDEAS-World model, combined with a participatory simulation group dynamic flexible enough to be adapted to a diversity of contexts and participants. The performance of 13 game workshops with ~420 players has shown it has a significant pedagogical potential: the game is able to generate discussions on crucial topics which are usually outside the public realm such as the relationship between economic growth and sustainability, the role of technology, how human desires are limited by biophysical constraints or the possibility of climate tipping points.

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Macroeconomic modelling under energy constraints: Global low carbon transition scenarios

Cited by 104 publications

References 59 publications

MEDEAS: a new modeling framework integrating global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints

MEDEAS: a new modeling framework integrating global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints

European Cities in the Energy Transition: A Preliminary Analysis of 27 Cities

Global Sustainability Crossroads: A Participatory Simulation Game to Educate in the Energy and Sustainability Challenges of the 21st Century

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