Machine Learning Assisted Prediction Algorithm of Atmospheric Ion Mobility

Abstract

Atmosphere ion mobility is an important electrical parameter related to the filamentary ion flow field of high voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission lines and other characteristics of the glow and streamer corona discharge. Many machine learning (ML)-based algorithms have already been widely used in the prediction of air discharge. This paper proposes a genetic algorithm (GA)-support vector regression (SVR) combined with kernel principal components analysis (PCA) to predict the ion mobility, involving dimensionality reduction, feature selection, parameter optimization of SVR. Kernel PCA could reduce the dimension of data and GA with adaptive probability parameters is employed to optimize the parameters of SVR model. An improved parallel-plates ion generator is employed to produce corona discharge and then measure the saturation ion current density and then obtain the training data and testing data of ion mobility. The prediction results show that the proposed algorithm outperforms the other methods in terms of mean relative error and mean squared error criteria. In addition, the parameters of model and data features have a major influence on the performance of the prediction algorithm. Based on the measured data and reference data, the prediction result obtained on ion mobility under different humidity shows a satisfactory generalization and effectiveness of proposed model for the prediction.