“…In (Pan, 2000;Pan, Okello, McMichael, & Roughan, 1998) two different components in uncertainty are distinguished: Uncertainty in the output of a clearly defined and randomly occurring event (described by a probability) and uncertainty inherent in the description of the event itself (described by fuzzy logic). Thus, in those papers, an integration of BNs and fuzzy logic, called fuzzy causal probabilistic networks (FCPN) is proposed.…”