Objective
To describe the incidence of rapid kidney function decline (RKFD), and stage 3 chronic kidney disease (CKD) in HIV-1-infected adults initiated on tenofovir (TDF)-containing antiretroviral therapy (ART).
Methods
A retrospective cohort study at the infectious diseases clinic of Tygerberg Academic Hospital in Cape Town, South Africa. Patients with >3 ml/min/year decline in estimated glomerular filtration (eGFR) were classified as having RKFD, and stage 3 CKD was defined as a value <60 ml/min/1.73 m2. We used logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression models to determine factors associated with RKFD and stage 3 CKD.
Results
Of 650 patients, 361 (55%) experienced RKFD and 15 (2%) developed stage 3 CKD during a median (interquartile range [IQR]) follow-up time of 54 (46.6–98) weeks. For every 10-year increase in age and 10mL/min lower baseline eGFR, the odds of RKFD increased by 70% (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.70, 95% CI 1.36 to 2.13) and 57% (aOR = 1.57, 95% CI 1.38 to 1.80), respectively. Each 10-year older age was associated with a 1.90-fold increased risk of developing stage 3 CKD (adjusted HR [aHR] = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.10 to 3.29). Women had about 4-fold greater risk of stage 3 CKD compared to men (aHR = 3.96, 95% CI: 1.06 to 14.74).
Conclusions
About half of our study population developed RKFD but only 2% progressed to stage 3 CKD. Approaches that provide balanced allocation of limited resources towards screening and monitoring for kidney dysfunction and HIV disease management are critically needed in this setting.