2020
DOI: 10.1093/mnras/staa935
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Long-term statistics of pulsar glitches triggered by a Brownian stress accumulation process

Abstract: A microphysics-agnostic meta-model of rotational glitches in rotation-powered pulsars is developed, wherein the globally averaged internal stress accumulates as a Brownian process between glitches, and a glitch is triggered once a critical threshold is surmounted. Precise, falsifiable predictions are made regarding long-term event statistics in individual pulsars. For example, the Spearman cross-correlation coefficient between the size of a glitch and the waiting time until the next glitch should exceed 0.25 i… Show more

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Cited by 14 publications
(17 citation statements)
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“…Note, the p-value for the backward cross-correlation is an artefact of the significant scatter and corresponding lack of correlation. The moderate forward cross-correlation is consistent with previously reported values (Melatos et al 2018;Fuentes et al 2019;Carlin & Melatos 2020). The marginal auto-correlations for the glitch wait time, 𝜌 𝑠, Δ𝑇 𝑔 = −0.0048 (p-value 0.98), and size, 𝜌 𝑠, Δ𝜈 = −0.26 (p-value 0.15), are consistent with the BSA process.…”
Section: Statistics Of Glitches In Psrs J1341−6220 and J1413−6141supporting
confidence: 92%
“…Note, the p-value for the backward cross-correlation is an artefact of the significant scatter and corresponding lack of correlation. The moderate forward cross-correlation is consistent with previously reported values (Melatos et al 2018;Fuentes et al 2019;Carlin & Melatos 2020). The marginal auto-correlations for the glitch wait time, 𝜌 𝑠, Δ𝑇 𝑔 = −0.0048 (p-value 0.98), and size, 𝜌 𝑠, Δ𝜈 = −0.26 (p-value 0.15), are consistent with the BSA process.…”
Section: Statistics Of Glitches In Psrs J1341−6220 and J1413−6141supporting
confidence: 92%
“…In order to produce statistically useful numbers of glitches, computational constraints require spin-down rates far greater than those observed in even the most rapidly decelerating pulsars. The models with negative autocorrelations in waiting time and size are inconsistent with the Brownian meta-model, and are consistent with the statedependent Poisson model only in a restricted subset of parameter space (Carlin & Melatos 2019, 2020.…”
Section: Size-waiting Time Correlationsmentioning
confidence: 74%
“…The astrophysical details of the feedback mechanism lie outside the scope of this paper. We assume here for simplicity that it is instantaneous and lossless (Fulgenzi, Melatos & Hughes 2017;Carlin & Melatos 2020).…”
Section: Feedbackmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Table 9 in Warszawski & Melatos (2011) and Table 2 in Howitt et al (2020). The same is true in meta-models, where glitch activity is modeled as a state-dependent Poisson process without specializing to a particular version of the microphysics (Fulgenzi et al 2017;Carlin & Melatos 2019a;Melatos & Drummond 2019;Carlin & Melatos 2020).…”
Section: Physical Motivationmentioning
confidence: 96%