Long-Term Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers: Review of the Evidence

Macours, Karen; Millán, Teresa Molina; Barham, Tania; Maluccio, John A.; Stampini, Marco

doi:10.1093/wbro/lky005

Cited by 119 publications

(63 citation statements)

References 25 publications

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“…A more limited literature on longer term impacts of PROSPERA is available, and, in general, of long-term effects studies of CCT programs. Millan et al (2018) give a recent summary of papers investigating long-term effects of these policies. Relevant examples include: analysis on long-term effects on human capital (Barham et al (2017) study a CCT in Nicaragua); similarly, Baez and Camacho (2011) study the long-term effects of the Colombian CCT (Familias en Accion) on human capital; similar analyses are presented in Barrera-Osorio et al (2017) and Aizer et al (2016) on children's longevity, educational attainment, nutritional status, and income in adulthood in the U.S.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Long-Term Effects of PROSPERA on Welfare

Aguilar¹,

Barnard²,

Giorgi³

2019

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The Policy Research Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about development issues. An objective of the series is to get the findings out quickly, even if the presentations are less than fully polished. The papers carry the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Long-Term Effects of PROSPERA on Welfare

Aguilar¹,

Barnard²,

Giorgi³

2019

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“…The experimental evidence on longer-term effects is mixed. Some studies show sustained differences between initial treatment and control groups in cognitive, health or educational outcomes, whereas other studies show fade out (Fernald, Gertler, and Neufeld 2009;Barham, Macours, and Maluccio 2013;Araujo, Bosch, and Schady 2018;Cahyadi et al 2020;Molina Millán et al 2019;. 4 Nonexperimental studies in Mexico and Colombia also show positive longer-term effects on education (Behrman, Parker, and Todd 2009;García et al 2012).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts on school entry of exposure since birth to a conditional cash transfer programme in El Salvador

Chico

Macours

Maluccio³

et al. 2020

Journal of Development Effectiveness

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Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) programmes are important anti-poverty programmes. There is relatively little evidence, however, of ongoing effectiveness several years after they have begun. Such evidence is particularly relevant for policymakers because programme effects may become larger or smaller over time. We analyse whether children exposed since birth to a CCT in El Salvador have better schooling outcomes at initial school ages. The results demonstrate that exposure significantly increased school enrolment and attainment for five-year-olds in preschool. The pattern of impacts suggests continued programme exposure might be improving primary school readiness or shifting norms around child investment.

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“…Despite a growing body of evidence on the effects of cash transfer programs (Bastagli et al 2018) few studies focus on the long-term effects of these programs (defined as 10 years or more) (Molina-Millán et al 2019). This is in part because the expansion of these programmes is very recent, but also because experimental studies are normally designed with a short-term window.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The handful of studies available focus on older programs in Latin America such as in Honduras (Ham and Michelson 2018), Mexico (Parker and Vogl 2018;Fernald, Gertler, and Neufeld 2009), Nicaragua (Barham, Macours, and Maluccio 2013), Ecuador, and Colombia (García et al 2012). Moreover, these long-term evaluations based on experimental methods suffer from high attrition rates that significantly decrease both the internal and external validity (Molina-Millán et al 2019).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Human capital returns to cash transfers in Uganda: does it matter in the long run?

Dietrich

Malerba

Barrientos

et al. 2019

Journal of Development Effectiveness

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The paper reports on an ex-ante evaluation of the nationwide scale up of two pilot cash transfer programmes in Uganda. We use panel data to estimate consumption elasticities of child health status and school enrolment. They provide the main parameters of a micro-simulation model predicting cash transfer effects on human capital accumulation and feedback effects on consumption. Quantifying year on year costs and direct and indirect benefits, we track the annual trend in rates of return. The findings indicate important gains in child health, schooling, and income growth associated with programme participation. The rates of return improve over the medium term but remain negative after 10 years. These findings underline the need to regard cash transfers as longerterm social investment instead of short-term costs.

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Long-Term Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers: Review of the Evidence

Cited by 119 publications

References 25 publications

Long-Term Effects of PROSPERA on Welfare

Long-Term Effects of PROSPERA on Welfare

Impacts on school entry of exposure since birth to a conditional cash transfer programme in El Salvador

Human capital returns to cash transfers in Uganda: does it matter in the long run?

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