2015
DOI: 10.1038/ncomms8148
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Long-term decline in grassland productivity driven by increasing dryness

Abstract: Increasing aridity and drought severity forecast for many land areas could reduce the land carbon (C) sink. However, with limited long-term direct measures, it is difficult to distinguish direct drying effects from counter effects of CO2 enrichment and nitrogen (N) deposition. Here, we document a >50% decline in production of a native C3 grassland over four decades and assign the forcing and timing to increasing aridity and specifically to declining late-summer rainfall. Analysis of C and N stable isotopes in … Show more

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Cited by 126 publications
(82 citation statements)
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References 33 publications
(57 reference statements)
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“…Whether this enhancement of WUE can compensate for the detrimental effects of increased aridity on water availability and plant growth is largely unknown. A recent study showed that increased aridity over the last four decades was responsible for a sustained decline in plant productivity, regardless of CO 2 -induced increases in WUE during this period (38).…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Whether this enhancement of WUE can compensate for the detrimental effects of increased aridity on water availability and plant growth is largely unknown. A recent study showed that increased aridity over the last four decades was responsible for a sustained decline in plant productivity, regardless of CO 2 -induced increases in WUE during this period (38).…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Extreme events such as droughts, however, often lead to periodic, pulsing, and severe alterations [12]. Long-term declines in grassland productivity had been driven by increased dryness over four decades; to some extent, the water use efficiency that increased through CO 2 enrichment in grasslands may have slightly moderated the decline in production of native C3 grasslands, while variations in N had no effects [13]. So it seems that extreme droughts may change the structure, composition, and functionality of terrestrial ecosystems, thereby influencing C cycling and its feedback to the climate system [14][15][16].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The carbon sequestration of a grassland can vary considerably from year to year since it is influenced both by natural and anthropogenic factors such as temperature, rainfall, species composition, nutrient and water availability, light, grazing pressure and agricultural practices [11,12]. Together, these factors make grassland carbon exchange responsive to climate change [13][14][15], and drive interest in monitoring grassland ecosystem responses for the purpose of developing optimal management regimes.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%