Long-term decline in abundance and distribution of the garden tiger moth ( Arctia caja ) in Great Britain

Conrad, K. F.; Woiwod, I. P.; Perry, J. N.

doi:10.1016/s0006-3207(01)00258-0

Cited by 81 publications

(72 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…Half of the studied species experienced a 10-year decline of at least 12%, and results suggest that British macro-moths have undergone declines at least as severe as British butterflies: the percentage of moth species declining (66%) was similar to the proportion of butterflies declining (71%) and greater than the proportion of birds (54%) or plants declining (28%). Conrad et al (2002) studied the population dynamics of Arctia caja on the British Isles between 1968 and 1999. It was shown that the average number of catches (4.2) rapidly fell after 1983 to 3.0 which is a 28°% decline.…”

Section: Decreasing Number Of Individualsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts of Climate Change on Lepidoptera Species and Communities

Kocsis¹

2011

Appl Ecol Env Res

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Abstract. In this review, the impacts of climate change on Lepidoptera species and communities are summarized, regarding already registered changes in case of individual species and assemblies, and possible future effects. These include changes in abundance, distribution ranges (altitude above sea level, geographical distribution), phenology (earlier or later flying, number of generations per year). The paper also contains a short description of the observed impacts of single factors and conditions (temperature, atmospheric CO 2 concentration, drought, predators and parasitoids, UV-B radiation) affecting the life of moths and butterflies, and recorded monitoring results of changes in the Lepidoptera communities of some observed areas. The review is closed with some theoretical considerations concerning the characteristics of "winner" species and also the features and conditions needed for a successful invasion, conquest of new territories.

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Section: Decreasing Number Of Individualsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts of Climate Change on Lepidoptera Species and Communities

Kocsis¹

2011

Appl Ecol Env Res

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“…Data from 406 light traps show the pronounced changes in populations of the garden tiger moth Arctia caja that have accompanied recent climate change (Conrad et al, 2001(Conrad et al, , 2002(Conrad et al, , 2003. Population size of A. caja decreases in years with high rainfall or temperature in winter and early spring, and in spans of years with high index values for the East Atlantic (EA) teleconnection pattern, an atmospheric circulation system that affects winter weather in western Europe (Conrad et al, 2003).…”

Section: Climate and Population Sizementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Population size of A. caja decreases in years with high rainfall or temperature in winter and early spring, and in spans of years with high index values for the East Atlantic (EA) teleconnection pattern, an atmospheric circulation system that affects winter weather in western Europe (Conrad et al, 2003). Increasing winter temperature, rainfall and EA index values between 1968 and 1998 led to declines in A. caja local population density and distribution size, and a shift in its centres of distribution and abundance towards cooler, higher latitudes (Conrad et al, 2002). A time lag in the response of species distribution to climate change was observed, with mean local population density falling abruptly between 1983 and 1984, and the proportion of occupied locations declining markedly between 1987 and 1988 (Conrad et al, 2001).…”

Section: Climate and Population Sizementioning

confidence: 99%

Insects and climate change: processes, patterns and implications for conservation.

Wilson

Davies²,

Thomas³

2007

Insect Conservation Biology

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The effects of climatic change on insect biodiversity and conservation, and the importance of insects as model systems for biological responses to climatic change and associated conservation measures are described. Studies on recent responses of insects to climatic change (shifts in distribution and phenology) and mechanisms behind climate-related shifts in distribution and phenology (those related to population size, growth, survival, fecundity and adaptive responses, and those associated with biotic interactions, and habitat loss and fragmentation) are reviewed. Models for the prediction of the effects of climatic change on insect conservation and ecology are mentioned.

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“…To see that there can be great difference between the responses of even similar species, we refer to Conrad et al [8]. They examined the garden tiger moth (Arctia caja) that was widespread and common in the UK in the last century, but its abundance fell rapidly and suddenly after 1984.…”

Section: The Aspect Of Palaeontologymentioning

confidence: 99%

The Effect of Climate Chan Ge on the Population of Sycamore Lace Bug (Corythuca Ciliata, Say, Tingidae Heteroptera) Based on a Simulation Model With Phenological Response

Ladányi

Hufnágel²

2006

Appl Ecol Env Res

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Abstract. Climate change affects on insect populations in many ways: it can cause a shift in geographical spread, abundance, or diversity, it can change the location, the timing and the magnitude of outbreaks of pests and it can define the phenological or even the genetic properties of the species. Long-time investigations of special insect populations, simulation models and scenario studies give us very important information about the response of the insects far away and near to our century. Getting to know the potential responses of insect populations to climate change makes us possible to evaluate the adaptation of pest management alternatives as well as to formulate our future management policy. In this paper we apply two simple models, in order to introduce a complex case study for a Sycamore lace bug population. We test how the model works in case the whether conditions are very different from those in our days. Thus, besides we can understand the processes that happen in present, we can analyze the effects of a possible climate change, as well. Keywords: climate change, insects, pest management, simulation, agriculture Introduction and AimsSimulation is the ultimate tool for forecasting the effect of climate and other environmental factors on the ecosystem, since the real circumstances of future cannot be examined empirically. However, it may take several years to reach the stage when these forecasts will be usable in the agriculture since the longer climate forecasts are not yet good enough [18] In our paper we refer to one of our earlier population dynamical food web biomass model together with a phenology model based on the food web model [33], [34]. In the food web model the seasonal weather aspects, the nutrient content of soil and the biotic interactions are considered. To simulate the interactions, a discrete difference equation system was used. The general equation of the model is based on three terms: the first one is to express the activity of the individual depending on the temperature, the second one is to describe the effect of the quality and the quantity of the nutrient of the populations and the third one is to display the effect of the predators.Besides quantitative (biomass) changes, however, there are also seasonal qualitative changes during the evolution of the entities. These changes are described by phenology.

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Long-term decline in abundance and distribution of the garden tiger moth ( Arctia caja ) in Great Britain

Cited by 81 publications

References 30 publications

Impacts of Climate Change on Lepidoptera Species and Communities

Impacts of Climate Change on Lepidoptera Species and Communities

Insects and climate change: processes, patterns and implications for conservation.

The Effect of Climate Chan Ge on the Population of Sycamore Lace Bug (Corythuca Ciliata, Say, Tingidae Heteroptera) Based on a Simulation Model With Phenological Response

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