We thank Michael Grubb and John Quah for useful comments and discussions. We thank Zeyu Xing, Hanyao Zhang, Yangfan Zhou, and Yuxuan Zhu for excellent research assistance. Fang acknowledges the generous financial support from the National Science Foundation through Grant SES-0844845. Wu thanks the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 71803003) and the seed fund of the School of Economics, Peking University, for financial support. Any errors are our own. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications.