2020
DOI: 10.1007/s13272-020-00468-5
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Long-term application potential of urban air mobility complementing public transport: an upper Bavaria example

Abstract: In this paper, the required models and methods to analyze and quantify the potential demand for urban air mobility (UAM) complementing public transport and possible impacts were defined and applied to the Munich Metropolitan region. An existing agent-based transport model of the study area were used and extended to cover socio-demographic changes up to the year 2030 and intermodal UAM services. An incremental logit model for UAM was derived to simulate demand for this new mode. An airport access model was deve… Show more

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Cited by 86 publications
(63 citation statements)
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“…This results in an estimated passenger transportation mode changeover rate of approximately 5%. Although the modal split including air taxi services will highly vary for different local transportation systems, a 5% share of trips by air taxi services lies within a reasonable order of magnitude, compared with estimates of other literature [3,9]. As the passenger volume of Cologne Bonn Airport summed to 12 million passengers in 2019, this changeover rate would indicate an air taxi service demand of approximately 600,000 passengers per year.…”
Section: Regulatory Frameworkmentioning
confidence: 85%
“…This results in an estimated passenger transportation mode changeover rate of approximately 5%. Although the modal split including air taxi services will highly vary for different local transportation systems, a 5% share of trips by air taxi services lies within a reasonable order of magnitude, compared with estimates of other literature [3,9]. As the passenger volume of Cologne Bonn Airport summed to 12 million passengers in 2019, this changeover rate would indicate an air taxi service demand of approximately 600,000 passengers per year.…”
Section: Regulatory Frameworkmentioning
confidence: 85%
“…High prices, above or at the level of taxi prices, might be realistic at the beginning; yet, as e.g. Ploetner et al (2020) show, modal shares of UAM can then be expected to very low. With rather low modal shares of UAM the expected impacts on location choice and related markets is expected to be minor.…”
Section: Model Calibrationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Due to high travel speeds and high prices the long term impact of this future mode of transport is especially interesting. First, the combination of high prices and high travel speeds demand for a user group with a high willingness to pay for travel time savings (Al Haddad et al 2020;Straubinger et al 2020a;Fu et al 2019), making the assessment of welfare effects on different income groups relevant. Second, the massive increase in travel time could lead to a change in location behaviour of households (Rothfeld et al 2019b), especially when keeping the existing empirical evidence on rather constant commuting times in mind (Anas 2015).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There is a substantial effect of the approved footprint on the feasibility of implementation. In addition, large vehicle footprints lead to reduced efficiency on the Verti-X as less aircraft can be dispatched simultaneously (Ploetner et al, 2020). To allow scaling, the Verti-X must be readily accessible to customers and have sufficient passenger and aircraft throughput.…”
Section: Related Research For Requirement Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%