“…The estimated fractional integration parameters of this ARFIMA model is positive and smaller than 0.5 (d 0.278). It corresponds to a Hurst's coefficient of H 0.778 that is consistent with the results obtained with the rescaled range analysis and in general with other literature results (Cuculeanu et al, 1996;Nikolopoulos et al, 2018). The proposed model has been also assessed in terms of its predictive capacity, however the performances are quite poor especially increasing the lag of prediction (moving from 1-day forecast to 5-day forecast).…”