Abstract:Our previous article has proposed a simulation model to explore the nonlinear relationship between the nonlinear regime of the fiber, laser intensity and the error probability of the optical link. This paper extends the model to include the effective area of the fiber. In order to handle the extended parameter, time series feed forward neural network based prediction model is proposed. The reliability of the model is substantiated by extensive experimental analysis through which the relationship exhibiting between the laser intensity and the corresponding nonlinear regime and effective area of the fiber can be observed. The observed results demonstrate the performance of the prediction model in estimating the launch power to meet the desired error probability under varying nonlinear regime and effective of the fiber.