Local-scale regionalisation of climate change effects on rainfall pattern: application to Alicante City (Spain)

Cutillas-Lozano, Luis Gabino; López, Mario Santa Cruz; Velasco, Antonio Pérez; Andrés-Doménech, Ignacio; Olcina-Cantos, Jorge

doi:10.1007/s00704-023-04565-3

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 40 publications

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“…Although the overall quality of the used dataset is good, some of the missing data were substituted with the corresponding average value of other years. The collected database was uploaded to the Climadjust platform [24,25], a web service (https://climadjust.com/ accessed on 1 Februry 2023) created with the support of the Copernicus Climate Change Service, to generate bias-corrected climate model simulations from the ensembles of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) and Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) datasets or customized areas of interest. In the present study, we refer to the CORDEX domain centered on the Euro-Mediterranean area, known as EURO-CORDEX.…”

Section: Data Collectionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Comparative Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Climatic Variables and Reference Evapotranspiration in Tunisian Semi-Arid Region

Latrech,

Hermassi,

Yacoubi

et al. 2024

Agriculture

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Systematic biases in general circulation models (GCM) and regional climate models (RCM) impede their direct use in climate change impact research. Hence, the bias correction of GCM-RCMs outputs is a primary step in such studies. This study compares the potential of two bias correction methods (the method from the third phase of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3) and Detrended Quantile Matching (DQM)) applied to the raw outputs of daily data of minimum and maximum air temperatures and precipitation, in the Cap-Bon region, from eight GCM-RCM combinations. The outputs of GCM/RCM combinations were acquired from the European branch of the coordinated regional climate downscaling experiment (EURO-CORDEX) dataset for historical periods and under two representative concentration pathway (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) scenarios. Furthermore, the best combination of bias correction/GCM-RCM was used to assess the impact of climate change on reference evapotranspiration (ET0). Numerous statistical indicators were considered to evaluate the performance of the bias correction/historical GCM-RCMs compared to the observed data. Trends of the Hargreaves–Samani_ET0 model during the historical and projected periods were determined using the TFPMK method. A comparison of the bias correction methods revealed that, for all the studied model combinations, ISIMIP3 performs better in reducing biases in monthly precipitation. However, for Tmax and Tmin, the biases are greatly removed when the DQM bias correction method is applied. In general, better results were obtained when the HadCCLM model was used. Before applying bias correction, the set of used GCM-RCMs projected reductions in precipitation for most of the months compared to the reference period (1982–2006). However, Tmin and Tmax are expected to increase in all months and for the three studied periods. Hargreaves–Samani ET0 values obtained from the best combination (DQM/ HadCCLM) show that RCP8.5 (2075–2098) will exhibit the highest annual ET0 increase compared to the RCP4.5 scenario and the other periods, with a change rate equal to 11.85% compared to the historical period. Regarding spring and summer seasons, the change rates of ET0 are expected to reach 10.44 and 18.07%, respectively, under RCP8.5 (2075–2098). This study shows that the model can be used to determine long-term trends in ET0 patterns for diverse purposes, such as water resources planning, agricultural crop management and irrigation scheduling in the Cap-Bon region.

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Section: Data Collectionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Comparative Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Climatic Variables and Reference Evapotranspiration in Tunisian Semi-Arid Region

Latrech,

Hermassi,

Yacoubi

et al. 2024

Agriculture

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Preventing through Sustainability Education: Training and the Perception of Floods among School Children

Morote,

Olcina

2024

Sustainability

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The global warming process is altering the atmospheric dynamics at mid-latitudes, fostering an increase in the frequency of extreme events. Of these events, floods are those that cause the greatest loss of human life and economic damage in Spain. Education is a key element in preventing these hazards. The objective of this study is to analyze the training, knowledge, and perception that school children (Primary and Secondary education, Baccalaureate) in the Region of Valencia (Spain) have of floods. The research was based on a questionnaire that was administered in different schools and in which 926 students participated. The main results show that only 36.1% have received training in these phenomena, and more than half (54.2%) do not know whether floods are explained in the textbooks. With respect to the perception of these risks, half of the respondents indicate that climate change is increasing the damage caused by floods, and 57.6% believe that it will accelerate them in the future. The study advances the knowledge necessary to establish learning contents and guidelines at the basic levels of education on natural hazards and disaster prevention.

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Educar para proteger la vida: la enseñanza de las inundaciones

Morote Seguido,

Olcina Cantos

2024

An. geogr. Univ. Complut.

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Los objetivos de esta investigación, a partir de la participación de alumnado escolar, profesorado en formación (Educación Primaria y Secundaria), y en activo, son analizar la formación y medidas de prevención recibidas sobre las inundaciones durante la etapa escolar, y las experiencias de inundación sufridas en su centro educativo. Metodológicamente, a partir de la realización de dos cuestionarios (alumnado/profesorado) en la Comunidad Valenciana (España) entre los cursos 2018-2019 y 2023-2024 (1.702 participantes), los resultados muestran que la mitad afirma no haber recibido formación sobre estos fenómenos durante su etapa escolar (48,6%), destacando, que aquellos que recibieron algún tipo de formación, se basó en la realización de protocolos y/o información de cómo actuar (13,5%). Ante los escenarios de cambio climático, resulta necesario formar y preparar a la población escolar (estudiantes/profesorado) ante las inundaciones, pero también concienciar sobre la exposición cotidiana de estos fenómenos

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Local-scale regionalisation of climate change effects on rainfall pattern: application to Alicante City (Spain)

Cited by 3 publications

References 40 publications

Comparative Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Climatic Variables and Reference Evapotranspiration in Tunisian Semi-Arid Region

Comparative Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Climatic Variables and Reference Evapotranspiration in Tunisian Semi-Arid Region

Preventing through Sustainability Education: Training and the Perception of Floods among School Children

Educar para proteger la vida: la enseñanza de las inundaciones

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