Local governments' re-election and its determinants: New evidence based on a Bayesian approach

Balaguer-Coll, María Teresa; Brun-Martos, María Isabel; Forte, Anabel; Tortosa‐Ausina, Emili

doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2015.04.004

Cited by 56 publications

(56 citation statements)

References 58 publications

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“…One of the causes that could explain this fact is gathered in the literature referring effect of the electoral cycle on the management of municipal services. It has been confirmed that, in the pre-election years, expenditures are increased, taxes are reduced, and services are improved [58][59][60], negatively affecting the rest of the cycle. In the period analyzed (2014-2018), the municipal elections were held in 2015, confirming the effect of the electoral cycle on the results obtained.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 98%

Achieving Sustainable Development Goals. Efficiency in the Spanish Clean Water and Sanitation Sector

2020

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In recent years, achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is becoming a major challenge for local governments. This research focuses on the role of Spanish local governments in the fulfillment of SDG-6, which aims to ensure the availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all citizens. Specifically, this study analyses the evolution of the efficiency of Spanish local governments, and its determining factors, in the achievement of the SDG-6. The results indicate that the taxes associated with water supply and sanitation services, the private management of these services, population density, local government budget revenues, the income of the inhabitants of the municipality and the fragmentation of local governments are factors that can improve the evolution of the efficiency of Spanish local governments in achieving the SDG-6.Sustainability 2020, 12, 3015 2 of 13 debate on the efficiency in the management of water resources, which has become even more relevant with Agenda 2030 and, in particular, in relation to SDG-6. In this regard, measuring the evolution of the efficiency in the provision of water supply and sanitation services, and identifying how it can be improved to achieve SDG-6, is a further step towards the prosperity of the planet and people. However, despite the relevance of the topic, previous studies have investigated the efficiency of local governments in the provision of drinking water through Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and regression models. These approaches do not allow the measurement of inter-annual efficiency. In light of this, there is a clear need for more advanced methodologies capable of enabling a better understanding of the phenomenon. In this regard, our study aims to fill this important gap by using a different approach, represented by the Malmquist index (inter-annual evolution of efficiency) and a truncated regression model. In fact, this methodology allows an assessment of the inter-annual evolution of the efficiency of Spanish local governments in relation to the resources used to achieve SDG-6.Regarding the analysis of the determinants, this study investigates the impact of the characteristics of the service and the demographic, economic, and political factors of the municipality represented by taxes, type of management, population density, level of tourism, citizens' income, political ideology and political strength of the government.The structure of this study is organized as follows. After this introduction, we review the literature analyzing the relevance of SDGs and the determinants of efficiency in water supply and sanitation. Section 3 presents the methodology, referring to the sample, variables, and econometric model. Section 4 presents the results and discussion. Finally, in Section 5, we draw the main conclusions and implications of our findings, the limitations of the study, and the directions for further research. Literature Review

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 98%

Achieving Sustainable Development Goals. Efficiency in the Spanish Clean Water and Sanitation Sector

2020

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“…They document that pre-electoral fiscal manipulation is larger when an incumbent is facing a tight race and provide evidence that increased expenditures during election years positively affect an incumbents' win margin. Finally, Balaguer-Coll et al (2015) focus on municipal elections in Spain and document, with the use of Bayesian techniques, that increases in public spending positively affect incumbents' probability of re-election.…”

Section: Political Budget Cycles and Reelection Prospectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Political budget cycles and reelection prospects in Greece's municipalities

Chortareas

Logothetis

Papandreou

2016

European Journal of Political Economy

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This paper considers the presence of political budget cycles in Greece's municipalities. We construct a new dataset from primary sources and we find strong evidence of pre-electoral manipulation through increased expenditures and excessive borrowing. We use a dynamic panel data approach producing evidence of opportunistic behavior in local government finances. Our results are robust in the face of a series of controls including mayors running for reelection, their political alignment with the central government, and prolonged terms. Moreover, the results are robust to the exclusion of small sized municipalities and to the restriction of the time range of our investigation to the post-Maastricht period. We also consider whether opportunistic policies influence incumbents' reelection prospects finding that increased expenditures and election year opportunistic excesses are electorally rewarding. Our findings provide a characterization of opportunistic public finances management in Greek municipalities where electorally motivated budgetary decisions appear impervious to the various municipal reform attempts.

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“…11 Otros países en los que se encuentra evidencia similar: Estados Unidos (Besley, 2005;Cummins y Holyoke, 2012;Cummins, 2009;Trounstine, 2009;Ebeid y Rodden, 2006;y Alt y Lowry, 2010), España (Brun-Martos et al, 2014), Francia (Cassette et al, 2009y Cassette, Farvaque y Héricourt, 2011; Portugal (Martins y Veiga, 2013;y Sarpietro 2014), Israel (Brender 1999), Brasil (Litschig y Morrison, 2012;Sakurai y Menezes-Filho ,2008;Rocha, 2004;y Pereira y Renno, 2001) y Chile (Vergara, 2014).…”

Section: Conclusionesunclassified

Perú: un acercamiento al desempeño electoral en reeleciones subnacionales. Estudio cuantitativo de las elecciones provinciales de 2010

Teillier¹

2016

rcpg

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Local governments' re-election and its determinants: New evidence based on a Bayesian approach

Cited by 56 publications

References 58 publications

Achieving Sustainable Development Goals. Efficiency in the Spanish Clean Water and Sanitation Sector

Achieving Sustainable Development Goals. Efficiency in the Spanish Clean Water and Sanitation Sector

Political budget cycles and reelection prospects in Greece's municipalities

Perú: un acercamiento al desempeño electoral en reeleciones subnacionales. Estudio cuantitativo de las elecciones provinciales de 2010

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