Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways: Quantified West African food and climate futures in a global context

Abstract

Graphical abstract

Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways at the city scale to inform future vulnerability assessments – The case of Boston, Massachusetts

“…The use of existing scenarios as a starting point to develop new scenario narratives -instead of starting from scratch -is a common practice in scenario development and a few studies extending the global SSPs have made use of this approach , Absar and Preston 2015, Kok et al 2019). Methods to match scenarios of different scenario sets include the classification around two axes (Busch 2006, Kok et al 2013, the classification by archetypes (Hunt et al 2012, van Vuuren andCarter 2013), and the comprehensive matching of each narratives' assumption (Kok et al 2019, Palazzo et al 2017. In this study, we used the latter to match the global SSPs narratives with local scenarios developed by the Metropolitan Area Planning Council (MAPC 2014).…”

“…Participatory processes are a common approach to design socioeconomic and environmental scenarios at the regional and local scale , Nilsson et al 2017, Palazzo et al 2017 as well as to identify local drivers of vulnerability to climate-related hazards (Reckien 2014, Maharjan et al 2017.…”

“…extended SSPs for health (Ebi 2013, Sellers and, food security worldwide (Hasegawa et al 2015), the water sector (Wada et al 2016, Yao et al 2017, fisheries (Maury et al 2017), forestry , population distribution (Jones and O'Neill 2016), and urbanization (Li et al 2019). However, there has been only a few regional extensions, limited as for now to extended SSPs for the Barents Region (Nilsson et al 2017), the South-East US (Absar and Preston 2015), West-Africa (Palazzo et al 2017), New Zealand (Frame et al 2018), the Mediterranean coast (Reimann et al 2018), the Baltic Sea (Zandersen et al 2019), Europe (Kok et al 2019, Tokyo (Kamei et al 2016), and Houston (Rohat et al in revision). The two latter set of extended SSPs -which are the only existing urban extended SSPs to our knowledge -have been developed based on the review of historical trends, and subsequently refined through an interactive process with key local experts using individual interviews and/or questionnaires.…”

Vers un scénario « Des usages agro-écologiques des terres pour une alimentation diversifiée et de qualité et un système alimentaire territorialisé » en Tunisie en 2050

“…C'était le cas en Tunisie. Cependant, pour aboutir à des changements politiques, institutionnels, stratégiques ou techniques, des décideurs politiques et des acteurs économiques du système, y compris des agences de financement, doivent être impliqués dans l'identification des déterminants du système et la construction des scénarios (Wilkinson et Eidinow, 2008 ;Palazzo et al, 2016). La plupart des participants à l'atelier étaient des praticiens et non des décideurs politiques ou économiques, ce qui limite ou ralentit les changements.…”

Editorial for the Thematic Series in Agriculture & Food Security: Climate-Smart Agriculture Technologies in West Africa: learning from the ground AR4D experiences

“…Therefore, managing agricultural production risk is of paramount importance in the context of a crucial need of improving food security and sustaining rural economies [10,11]. In the light of this, a holistic concept of agriculture production, climate-smart agriculture (CSA), is proposed as a solution to transform and reorient agricultural systems to support food security under the new realities of climate change.…”