2015
DOI: 10.1890/14-0589.1
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Linking environmental filtering and disequilibrium to biogeography with a community climate framework

Abstract: Abstract. We present a framework to measure the strength of environmental filtering and disequilibrium of the species composition of a local community across time, relative to past, current, and future climates. We demonstrate the framework by measuring the impact of climate change on New World forests, integrating data for climate niches of more than 14 000 species, community composition of 471 New World forest plots, and observed climate across the most recent glacial-interglacial interval. We show that a ma… Show more

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Cited by 79 publications
(162 citation statements)
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“…The units of the hypervolumes are reported as the standard deviations of centered and scaled log-transformed trait values, raised to the power of the number of trait dimensions used (sd number of dimensions). We also calculated the overlap between the hypervolumes of each group with the correlation analysis of the “hypervolume” package, which compares the similarity between different hypervolumes using the Sørensen index (see Blonder et al, 2015). A rarefaction analysis was performed to control for the effects of species richness on the hypervolume.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The units of the hypervolumes are reported as the standard deviations of centered and scaled log-transformed trait values, raised to the power of the number of trait dimensions used (sd number of dimensions). We also calculated the overlap between the hypervolumes of each group with the correlation analysis of the “hypervolume” package, which compares the similarity between different hypervolumes using the Sørensen index (see Blonder et al, 2015). A rarefaction analysis was performed to control for the effects of species richness on the hypervolume.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This is especially important if we consider that, under global change, the flux of species in and out of communities (i.e., the species turnover) is likely to increase [3]. The level to which communities are saturated is therefore likely to have a very large influence on the potential for species to shift their distributions and track changing climates, given inertia in the composition of communities, founder priority effects, and limits on space resources 4, 5. Hence, improving our capacity to predict species richness and community composition by considering saturation or unsaturation is key for using models to produce more reliable conservation strategies in response to global environmental change [6].…”
Section: Taking a Modelling Perspective On An Old Debate: Are Communimentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This broad assortment of dispersal dynamics has resulted in modern ranges of some North America trees, and other plant species still being constrained by postglacial re‐colonization (Johnstone and Chapin , Payette , Gavin , Blonder et al. ). For example, the northern limit of lodgepole pine ( Pinus contorta ) is not climatically determined, and therefore not in equilibrium with current climate (Johnstone and Chapin ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%