Linking arson incidents on the basis of crime scene behavior

From marine ecology to crime analysis: Improving the detection of serial sexual offences using a taxonomic similarity measure

“…Intelligence-led policing requires accurate investigative decision-making. Since investigative decisionmaking is often necessarily based on poor or incomplete data (Alison, Snook, & Stein, 2001), and because case-linkage has been conducted with burglary (Bennell & Canter, 2002;Bennell & Jones, 2005;Green, Booth, & Biderman, 1976), homicide (Salfati & Bateman, 2005) and arson (Santtila, Fritzon, & Tamelander, 2005), as well as with sexual crimes (Grubin, Kelly, & Brunsdon, 2001;Santtila, Junkkila, & Sandnabba, 2005), ∆ s is likely to have wide application in forensic psychology and related disciplines.…”

The impact of data degradation and sample size on the performance of two similarity coefficients used in behavioural linkage analysis

“…CrimeSolver produced raw similarity scores for all crime pairs for both similarity coefficients. This output was exported to SPSS (v. 16) where the data were analyzed to examine the differences between crime pairs committed by the same offenders versus different offenders.…”

“…Primarily for the purpose of determining the extent to which it is possible to link crimes, the degree of behavioural stability and distinctiveness exhibited by serial offenders has been examined in cases of sexual crime [1,11,12], homicide [13][14][15], arson [16], burglary [14,[17][18][19][20], vehicle theft [21,22], and robbery [23]. Like the research conducted by personality psychologists, the results of these studies indicate that offenders do exhibit behavioural distinctiveness in a somewhat stable fashion across their crimes, but that situational factors (e.g., victim resistance) also have a significant influence on offender behaviour, thus limiting the degree to which BLA will be possible [2].…”

To link or not to link: a test of the case linkage principles using serial car theft data

“…An abundance of research evidence from the personality arena, therefore, addresses the existence of behavioural consistency. Indeed, much research now exists showing cross-situational consistency in both non-criminal (Funder & Colvin, 1991;Furr & Funder, 2004;Shoda, Mischel, & Wright, 1993, 1994Wright & Mischel, 1987) and criminal behaviour, including stranger sexual crimes against both adults and children (Beutler, Hinton, Crago, & Collier, 1995;Canter et al, 1991, cited in Woodhams & Toye, 2007Grubin, Kelly, & Ayis, 1997;Grubin, Kelly, & Brunsdon, 2001;Knight, Warren, Reboussin, & Soley, 1998;Santtila, Junkkila, & Sandnabba, 2005), homicide (Salfati & Bateman, 2005), arson (Santtila, Fritzon, & Tamelander, 2005), residential and commercial burglary (Bennell & Canter, 2002;Bennell & Jones, 2005;Green, Booth, & Biderman, 1976;Yokota & Canter, 2004), and commercial robbery (Woodhams & Toye, 2007).…”