More than half of U.S. states have renewable portfolio standards (RPS) in place and have collectively deployed approximately 46,000 MW of new renewable energy capacity through year-end 2012. Most of these policies have five or more years of implementation experience, enabling an assessment of their costs and benefits. Understanding RPS benefits and costs is essential for policymakers evaluating existing RPS policies, assessing the need for modifications, and considering new policies.This report surveys and summarizes existing state-level RPS cost and benefit estimates and examines the various methods used to calculate such estimates. The report relies largely upon data or results reported directly by electric utilities and state regulators. As such, the estimated costs and benefits itemized in this document do not result from the application of a standardized approach or the use of a consistent set of underlying assumptions. Because the reported values may differ from those derived through a more consistent analytical treatment, we do not provide an aggregate national estimate of RPS costs and benefits, nor do we attempt to quantify net RPS benefits at national or state levels. The report summarizes state-level RPS costs to date and considers how those costs may evolve going forward given scheduled increases in RPS targets and cost containment mechanisms incorporated into existing policies. The report also summarizes RPS benefits estimates, based on published studies for individual states, and discusses key methodological considerations. These estimates, for example, of the social value of carbon emissions reduction and the human health impacts of reduced air emissions, are based on a variety of methodologies and assumptions. In comparison to the summary of estimated RPS costs, the summary of RPS benefits is more limited, as relatively few states have undertaken detailed benefits estimates. Further, for those states that have estimated RPS benefits, most assess only a limited number of impact types; as a consequence, some types of benefits are not reflected in this report.
RPS CostsOur analysis focuses specifically on the incremental cost of meeting RPS targets, i.e., the cost above and beyond what would have been incurred absent the RPS, over the 2010-2012 period. For states with restructured markets, we derive RPS compliance costs based on the cost of renewable energy certificates (RECs) and alternative compliance payments (ACPs). For traditionally regulated states, we instead rely upon RPS cost estimates reported directly by utilities or regulators within annual compliance reports or other regulatory filings (not prospective studies), and translate those estimates into a set of common metrics for comparison. The methods used by utilities and regulators to estimate incremental compliance costs vary considerably from state to state, in some cases reflecting statutory or regulatory requirements, and a number of states are currently engaged in processes to refine and standardize their approaches to RPS cost calcu...