LigaNET: A multi-modal deep learning approach to predict the risk of subsequent anterior cruciate ligament injury after surgery

Abstract

Anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injuries are a common cause of soft tissue injuries in young active individuals, leading to a significant risk of premature joint degeneration. Postoperative management of such injuries, in particular returning patients to athletic activities, is a challenge with immediate and long-term implications including the risk of subsequent injury. In this study, we present LigaNET, a multi-modal deep learning pipeline that predicts the risk of subsequent ACL injury following surgical treatment. Postoperative MRIs (n=1,762) obtained longitudinally between 3 to 24 months after ACL surgery from a cohort of 159 patients along with 11 non-imaging outcomes were used to train and test: 1) a 3D CNN to predict subsequent ACL injury from segmented ACLs, 2) a 3D CNN to predict injury from the whole MRI, 3) a logistic regression classifier predict injury from non-imaging data, and 4) a multi-modal pipeline by fusing the predictions of each classifier. The CNN using the segmented ACL achieved an accuracy of 77.6% and AUROC of 0.84, which was significantly better than the CNN using the whole knee MRI (accuracy: 66.6%, AUROC: 0.70; P<.001) and the non-imaging classifier (accuracy: 70.1%, AUROC: 0.75; P=.039). The fusion of all three classifiers resulted in highest classification performance (accuracy: 80.6%, AUROC: 0.89), which was significantly better than each individual classifier (P<.001). The developed multi-modal approach had similar performance in predicting the risk of subsequent ACL injury from any of the imaging sequences (P>.10). Our results demonstrate that a deep learning approach can achieve high performance in identifying patients at high risk of subsequent ACL injury after surgery and may be used in clinical decision making to improve postoperative management (e.g., safe return to sports) of ACL injured patients.