Abstract:Rules incorporating influences on global temperature, an estimate of radiation balance, were induced from astronomical, geophysical, and anthropogenic variables. During periods of intermediate global temperatures (generally like the present century), the influences assume canceling roles; influences cancel the effects of extreme states potentially imposed by other influences because they are, in aggregate, most likely to be assuming opposite values. This imparts an overall stability to the global temperature. To achieve cold or hot global temperature, influences assume reinforcing roles. CO 2 is an active influence on global temperature. By virtue of its constancy in the atmosphere, it can be expected to sponsor frequent hot years in combination with the other influences as they cycle through their periods. If measures were implemented to maintain warm or cool global temperatures, it could retain the status quo of present global agricultural regions. They are probably more productive than hot world regions would be because of narrow storm tracks. KEY WORDS: global climate; artificial intelligence; energy balance; rough sets.
Article:INTRODUCTION The articles in this issue discuss variations in the sources of energy that modify the earth's radiation budget. They are features of the earth's orbit, atmosphere, oceans, and geosphere that modulate the amount of energy admitted to, and retained within, the oceans and atmosphere. In this article we will examine the interaction of these influences within the modern atmosphere through annual global average temperature, an estimate of radiation budget. Because of the concern generated during the 1980s by numerous record high global temperature years, and questions about future change (Houghton et al., 1990), we direct our attention to the mechanism of global temperature stability.The physical sciences have reasonably been concerned with the trendier aspects of global climate change. In the life sciences, occasional intimations of concern for interannual climate stability have begun to appear in the literature. Efforts to understand these life system effects can be expected to yield more easily to examination and explanation as year-by-year stability indices spanning thousands of years become more common. Thompson et al. (this issue) discuss the considerable range of information present in ice cores on global conditions. Through tree rings, Dean et al. (1985) provide a year-by-year index of regional climate stability in the southwestern United States spanning thousands of years. We make use of the worldwide and highly accurate measures of atmospheric temperature and related phenomena during the last decades to study temperature change processes. Close scrutiny of these data provides insights into the changes recorded in the long records. Results may apply across the sciences as historic and prehistoric climate records are drawn into the debate over anthropogenic contributions to global change. Rightly so, as the unforseen problems of global change, coupled with u...