A trial fibrillation (AF) is a known complication of right ventricular (RV) pacing, 1,2 occurring in 3% to 15% per year, being more common in older subjects and in the absence of AV synchrony. 3,4 As AF poses a significant medical and economic burden, 5 appropriate risk prediction for AF might be helpful in improving the cost-effectiveness of diagnostic and therapeutic measures directed toward preventing this arrhythmia and its well-known consequences.6 However, risk factors for AF are multiple and many of them remain ill-defined, 7 so additional risk profiling to stratify the risk of pacemaker-related AF may enable a more personalized approach to decision-making.Left atrial (LA) remodeling, including changes in LA size, function, and electric properties, provides a substrate for AF. [8][9][10] Despite the contribution of LA enlargement to the occurrence and progression of AF, 10-13 the assessment of LA volume (LAV)-the most robust marker of LA sizeis not recommended for routine use in risk evaluation, because its predictive value seems lower than expected. 14,15 LA functional evaluation might improve the identification of patients at risk for AF. Recently, LA strain has been Background-Better prediction of cardiac pacing patients at risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) would enable more effective prophylaxis. We sought whether left atrial (LA) electromechanical conduction time (EMT) and myocardial mechanics were associated with incident AF in patients undergoing dual chamber pacemaker implantation, independent of left atrial volume (LAV). Methods and Results-Clinical data were obtained prospectively in 146 enrollees (73±10 years) undergoing dual chamber pacemaker implantation in the Protect-Pace study. Echocardiograms and 2-dimensional strain analysis were obtained post implantation and at 2 years. Complete ascertainment of AF during follow-up was identified from interrogation of permanent pacemakers. Cox regression was used to identify correlates of AF. Incident AF (n=29, 20%) was associated with higher systolic blood pressure (P=0.01), lower left ventricular ejection fraction (P=0.03), lower LA strain at atrial contraction (LASac; P<0.001), higher LAV (P<0.003), and longer septal electromechanical conduction time (P<0.01).The associations of LAV and LASac with incident AF were independent of age, sex, systolic blood pressure, and left ventricular size and function. However, the combination of the 3 strongest predictors showed LASac (P=0.02) and systolic blood pressure (P=0.01) were independently associated with incident AF, but LAV was not (P=0.07). Using the optimal cut points from receiver operator characteristic curves (62 mL for LAV and 8.6% for LASac), we demonstrated that a significantly greater rate of AF was associated with both lower LASac at higher LAV and with lower LASac at lower LAV. Conclusions-The risk of AF in patients receiving dual chamber pacing is independently associated with LA size and function, not left ventricular structural and functional characteristics or right ventricular lead locatio...