2014
DOI: 10.1038/nbt.3100
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Large-scale test of the natural refuge strategy for delaying insect resistance to transgenic Bt crops

Abstract: The 'natural refuge strategy" for delaying insect resistance to transgenic cotton that produces insecticidal proteins from Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) relies on refuges of host plants other than cotton that do not make Bt toxins. We tested this widely adopted strategy by comparing predictions from modeling with data from a four-year field study of cotton bollworm (Helicoverpa armigera) resistance to transgenic cotton producing Bt toxin Cry1Ac in six provinces of northern China. Bioassay data revealed that the … Show more

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Cited by 180 publications
(168 citation statements)
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“…The main strategy for delaying pest resistance to Bt crops aims to increase the survival of susceptible insects with "refuges" of host plants that do not produce Bt toxins (9). Although refuges can delay insect adaptation to Bt crops (2,3,9,12), the optimal spatial scale for planting refuges remains unresolved (13)(14)(15). Also, because refuges are often perceived to cause short-term economic sacrifices for growers, they are usually imposed by regulations.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The main strategy for delaying pest resistance to Bt crops aims to increase the survival of susceptible insects with "refuges" of host plants that do not produce Bt toxins (9). Although refuges can delay insect adaptation to Bt crops (2,3,9,12), the optimal spatial scale for planting refuges remains unresolved (13)(14)(15). Also, because refuges are often perceived to cause short-term economic sacrifices for growers, they are usually imposed by regulations.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Firstly, the amounts of subsidies (direct payments) were postulated as similar for GM crops as for conventional ones. Secondly, the appearance of weeds tolerant to HT plants (Brookes and Barfoot 2013;Green 2014), insect resistance for Bt species, apple scab, or fire blight resistances were not monitored here despite their reported occurrence (Vogt et al 2013;Fahrentrapp et al 2013;Jin et al 2015) but were nonetheless discussed. MCDA and more generally multiattribute models are not directly suitable for time-series evaluation (Bohanec et al 2008).…”
Section: System Boundariesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Historically, these aspects have been taken into consideration very early on after Bt toxin release on fields (Tabashnik et al 1994). Resistances from target insects can be overcome (at least temporarily) by using stacking of various toxin variants (13 different Bt proteins have been approved in corn in the USA (Meissle et al 2011;Abbas et al 2013), use of natural refuges (Jin et al 2015), or increase of insecticide spraying. For HT systems, about 44 plant species from at least ten families are reported to be resistant to glyphosate (Green 2014).…”
Section: Distinction Between Short-and Long-term Sustainability Is Crmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…For modelling purposes, the spatial distribution of Bt and non-Bt plants is considered continuous and random. The proportion of Bt crop in the landscape (ω) is assumed to determine the survival probability (e.g., see Tabashnik et al, 2008;Jin et al, 2015) of the three genotypes (RR, RS and SS): W SS = 1 -ω, W RS = (1 -ω)+h × ω and W RR = 1, where h denotes the dominance of the resistance allele. Spatial spread of a resistance allele under selection was considered under a demogenetic system of deterministic reaction-diffusion equations proposed by Tyutyunov et al (2008) and slightly modified to our purpose (see Supplementary Appendix S1).…”
Section: Theoretical Resistance Spreadmentioning
confidence: 99%