Large–scale geographical variation confirms that climate change causes birds to lay earlier

Both, Christiaan; Artemyev, Alexandr; Blaauw, Bert; Cowie, Richard J.; Dekhuijzen, Aarnoud J.; Eeva, Tapio; Enemar, Anders; Gustafsson, Lars; Иванкина, Е.В.; Järvinen, Antero; Metcalfe, Neil B.; Nyholm, N. Erik I.; Potti, Jaime; Ravussin, Pierre-Alain; Sanz, Juan José; Silverin, Bengt; Slater, Frederick Maurice; Соколов, Л. В.; Torok, Ja ́nos; Winkel, Wolfgang; Wright, Jonathan; Zang, Herwig; Visser, Marcel E.

doi:10.1098/rspb.2004.2770

Cited by 377 publications

(423 citation statements)

References 19 publications

(28 reference statements)

Supporting

Mentioning

392

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…1998; Both et al. 2004), barn swallows bred earlier in warmer years and, consistent with temporal temperature trends, increasingly earlier over the study period. At the same time, reproductive success declined for both broods, corresponding to the population declines observed in barn swallows in recent decades (Inger et al.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 70%

“…2003; flycatchers: Both et al. 2004). We found that barn swallows in Eastern Germany partly differed in their responses to climatic conditions from those previously reported for Danish barn swallows (Møller 2002).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…1998; McCleery and Perrins 1998; Both et al. 2004). In addition to such linear, long‐term trends, several studies emphasized that bird phenology also responds to short‐term, year‐to‐year variation in the environment, concordant with large‐scale climate phenomena (e.g., the North Atlantic Oscillation [NAO] or the El Niño Southern Oscillation [ENSO], Forchhammer et al.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Earlier breeding, lower success: does the spatial scale of climatic conditions matter in a migratory passerine bird?

Grimm

Weiß

Kulik

et al. 2015

Ecology and Evolution

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Following over 20 years of research on the climatic effects on biodiversity we now have strong evidence that climate change affects phenology, fitness, and distribution ranges of different taxa, including birds. Bird phenology likely responds to changes in local weather. It is also affected by climatic year‐to‐year variations on larger scales. Although such scale‐related effects are common in ecology, most studies analyzing the effects of climate change were accomplished using climatic information on a single spatial scale. In this study, we aimed at determining the scale‐dependent sensitivity of breeding phenology and success to climate change in a migratory passerine bird, the barn swallow (Hirundo rustica). For both annual broods, we investigated effects of local weather (local scale) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO, large scale) on the timing of breeding and breeding success. Consistent with previous studies in migratory birds we found that barn swallows in Eastern Germany bred progressively earlier. At the same time, they showed reduced breeding success over time in response to recent climatic changes. Responses to climatic variation were observed on both local and large climatic scales, but they differed with respect to the ecological process considered. Specifically, we found that the timing of breeding was primarily influenced by large‐scale NAO variations and to a lesser extent by local weather on the breeding grounds. Conversely, climatic conditions on the local scale affected breeding success, exclusively. The observed decrease in breeding success over years is likely a consequence of scale‐related mismatches between climatic conditions during different breeding phases. This provides further evidence that a species' response of earlier breeding may not be enough to cope with climate change. Our results emphasize the importance of considering the response of ecological processes along different climatic scales in order to better understand the complexity of climate change effects on biodiversity.

show abstract

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 70%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Earlier breeding, lower success: does the spatial scale of climatic conditions matter in a migratory passerine bird?

Grimm

Weiß

Kulik

et al. 2015

Ecology and Evolution

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…no stimulus for earlier laying) (Both et al 2004), it also occurs where co-occurring resident species are laying 28 earlier, seemingly in response to increasing spring temperatures (Crick and Sparks 1999). Even where migrant lay dates are advancing, as they are in 36% of European pied flycatcher populations (Both et al 2004), advancement often appears insufficient given the substantial shift in the timing of peak food sources, which is leading to phenological mismatches between trophic levels (Both et al 2006;Laaksonen et al 2006). Such 32 mismatching is seen in a range of bird species (e.g.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…One of the most discussed explanations for the lack of reproductive phenological adjustment in migrant species is migratory constraint (Sanz et al 2003;Both et al 2004). This could occur because the 152 endogenous rhythms that determine the phenology of migration are based upon photoperiodic stimuli (Gwinner 1996), which are independent of climate, and change therein.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

What prevents phenological adjustment to climate change in migrant bird species? Evidence against the “arrival constraint” hypothesis

2010

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Climate Change Impacts: Birds

Tomotani

Ramakers

Gienapp

2016

Encyclopedia of Life Sciences

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Climate change can affect populations and species in various ways. Rising temperatures can shift geographical distributions and lead to (phenotypic or genetic) changes in traits, mostly phenology, which may affect demography. Most of these effects are well documented in birds. For example, the distribution of species has shifted polewards, and birds are nowadays breeding or migrating earlier. An important aspect of the observed phenological changes is whether species are thereby able to maintain synchrony with phenological changes in their environment, for example the phenology of their prey species. Disrupted synchrony, for example between predator and prey, can lead to reduced reproductive success or survival, which can negatively affect demography. Evidence for this happening in birds is – so far – limited but theoretical models predict that extinction risks could arise through insufficient adaptation to such phenological mismatches. Key Concepts Climate change will alter the optimal value of traits. Populations can track a changing environment by phenotypic plasticity. If phenotypic plasticity is not sufficient to track the environment, selection arises and an evolutionary change becomes necessary. Maladaptation can lead to extinction due to reduced reproductive success or survival. Genetic variation is important for evolutionary change and hence adaptation to climate change.

show abstract

Large–scale geographical variation confirms that climate change causes birds to lay earlier

Cited by 377 publications

References 19 publications

Earlier breeding, lower success: does the spatial scale of climatic conditions matter in a migratory passerine bird?

Earlier breeding, lower success: does the spatial scale of climatic conditions matter in a migratory passerine bird?

What prevents phenological adjustment to climate change in migrant bird species? Evidence against the “arrival constraint” hypothesis

Climate Change Impacts: Birds

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About