2011
DOI: 10.1007/s10666-011-9254-6
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Land Consumption by Urban Sprawl—A New Approach to Deduce Urban Development Scenarios from Actors’ Preferences

Abstract: A new modelling approach to urban sprawl dynamics is introduced which allows representing qualitative knowledge on relations between moving actor populations and properties of locations. The results of this Qualitative Attractiveness Migration (QuAM) Model are scenario-like sets of possible future developments of the urban system, much in contrast to quantitative forecasts gained by traditional modelling approaches. QuAM models allow for the interaction between internal dynamics and external influences. The ap… Show more

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Cited by 13 publications
(8 citation statements)
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References 44 publications
(52 reference statements)
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“…Having a climate change plan indicates awareness of the cross-sectoral challenges that climate change poses to the urban environment and signals a city’s general intent to engage in strategic climate actions. However, having a mitigation or adaptation plan is only one indicator and may not capture all activities within urban areas that are relevant to adaptation and mitigation [ 86 ], but signals a city’s general intent to engage in strategic climate actions. Our analysis shows that it is particularly difficult to predict adaptation plans.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Having a climate change plan indicates awareness of the cross-sectoral challenges that climate change poses to the urban environment and signals a city’s general intent to engage in strategic climate actions. However, having a mitigation or adaptation plan is only one indicator and may not capture all activities within urban areas that are relevant to adaptation and mitigation [ 86 ], but signals a city’s general intent to engage in strategic climate actions. Our analysis shows that it is particularly difficult to predict adaptation plans.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Finally, archetype analysis is currently mostly static in character, neglecting patterns of change over time or, at best, considering dynamics in a simplified way (Reckien et al 2011, Lüdeke et al 2014, Levers et al 2018. However, many problems of and pathways to sustainable development emerge and evolve over time (e.g., Eisenack 2016).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…2) were identified, including "Urban Sprawl," "Sahel Syndrome," or "Overexploitation" (cf. Kropp et al 2006, Sietz et al 2006, Reckien et al 2011) that reappear in many regions (prop. 3).…”
Section: Related Branches In Sustainability Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%