2020
DOI: 10.22201/fca.24488410e.2020.3039
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La COVID-19 y su impacto en la pobreza de Ecuador: método de escenarios

Abstract: <p>Las medidas gubernamentales adoptadas para combatir la pandemia paralizan las actividades económicas y afectan los  ingresos de la población. Por lo tanto, el objetivo de esta investigación es estimar y analizar los impactos de la COVID-19 en la pobreza de Ecuador utilizando el método de escenarios. Para lo cual, a partir de los datos de la Encuesta Nacional de Empleo, Desempleo y Subempleo (ENEMDU) de 2019, se construyó siete escenarios que consideran alternativas en cuanto a la reducción de ingresos… Show more

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Cited by 9 publications
(7 citation statements)
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References 17 publications
(12 reference statements)
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“…However, this rate increased to 33% in 2020 due to the impact of the pandemic. This demonstrated the decline of a decade in terms of the improvement achieved in Ecuador in the fight against poverty, which had already been forecasted in studies such as those by Correa-Quezada et al (2020) . However, by the end of 2021, the monetary poverty rate decreased to 27.7%, largely due to the country’s economic recovery.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 77%
“…However, this rate increased to 33% in 2020 due to the impact of the pandemic. This demonstrated the decline of a decade in terms of the improvement achieved in Ecuador in the fight against poverty, which had already been forecasted in studies such as those by Correa-Quezada et al (2020) . However, by the end of 2021, the monetary poverty rate decreased to 27.7%, largely due to the country’s economic recovery.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 77%
“…De esta manera, en congruencia con Correa et al (2020), Suryahadi et al (2020), CEPAL (2021b) y el Banco Mundial (2020), el aumento de las variables que aproximan los efectos de la paralización económica, incrementa la probabilidad de ser pobre. Sin embargo, la variable de muertes relacionadas al Covid-19 por 10 mil habitantes es de menor calidad, dado que en Ecuador "se observa un gran subregistro que dista mucho del número reportado" (Sacoto, 2021, p. 58).…”
Section: Resultsunclassified
“…Además, cuando un individuo trabaja en la actividad agrícola, es más propenso a ser pobre que el que se empleada en el sector público o privado (Morán y Lozano, 2018). Correa et al (2020), por medio de la metodología de escenarios, establecieron que en Ecuador, a causa de la pandemia por Covid-19, si los ingresos totales de los hogares se reducen en un 20%, la pobreza por ingreso aumentaría al 34.7%. A nivel regional, la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL, 2021b) estableció que, a consecuencia de la pandemia, la pobreza por ingreso sería de 33.7%.…”
Section: Pobreza Y Sus Determinantesunclassified
“…Investment in infrastructure, especially in two cities, resulted in a greater concentration of employment and income. In this way, industrial conurbation and infrastructure generated cumulative effects of economic and demographic growth in certain urban areas (Quito and Guayaquil), which an issue that remains to this day (Correa, 2016;Correa-Quezada & Bonilla, 2018). Following this line of research, Torres-Gutiérrez et al ( 2019), in a study on agglomeration economies, suggest that in Ecuador´s cities it is necessary to strengthen diversified local productive structures as a source of innovation and economic growth.…”
Section: State Infrastructure and Its Impact On Growth And Productivitymentioning
confidence: 99%