Kidnap risks and migration: evidence from Colombia

Rodríguez, Catherine; Villa, Edgar

doi:10.1007/s00148-011-0358-8

Cited by 12 publications

(6 citation statements)

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“…Papers find that households with greater exposure to violence in their own or surrounding areas were more likely to move to safer metropolitan areas (Engel and Ibáñez, 2007), while households in major cities with higher kidnapping risks from rebel groups were likely to send members abroad (Rodriguez and Villa, 2012). The literature on Colombia also highlights that contrasted with traditional migration, risk aversion and lack of information may affect violence-induced migration (Engel and Ibáñez, 2007).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Violence and migration: evidence from Mexico’s drug war

Basu

Pearlman

2017

IZA J Develop Migration

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The effect of violence on people's residential choice remains a debated topic in the literature on crime and conflict. We examine the case of the drug war in Mexico, which dramatically increased the number of homicides since late 2006. Using data from the Mexican Census and labor force surveys, we estimate the impact of violence on migration at the municipal and state levels. To account for the endogeneity of violence, we use kilometers of federal highways interacted with cocaine supply shocks from Colombia as an instrument for the annual homicide rate. We argue that highways are good measures of pre-existing drug distribution networks, and the interaction with supply shocks arising in Colombia captures the time-variant nature of the value of these routes. After controlling for observed and unobserved area level heterogeneity, we find little evidence that increases in homicides have led to out-migration, at the domestic level. We also find little evidence of international migration at the municipal level, but some evidence of it at the state level. Our results show a muted migration response that is incompatible with a story of wide-scale displacement from the violence.JEL Classification: O12, K42, O54, J11

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Violence and migration: evidence from Mexico’s drug war

Basu

Pearlman

2017

IZA J Develop Migration

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“…The perception of risk among migrants and refugees, however, might diverge significantly from the general population. The literature on migration choice is not unfamiliar to risk attitudes, and can instruct the design 9 See also Rodriguez and Villa (2012) for how displacement responds to changes in kidnapping risk, and Deschenes and Moretti (2009) for changes in mortality.…”

Section: Overview Of the Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

#Portichiusi: The Human Costs of Migrant Deterrence in the Mediterranean

Cantarella

2019

SSRN Journal

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Using daily data on forced migration from the IOM, I compare trends in flows and mortality across three major migration routes in the Mediterranean, analysing the effects of the introduction of rescue-deterrence policies in Italy. Controlling for exogenous shocks which affect push and pull factors in mobility, along with sea state conditions and route-day fixed effects, I find that the reduction in refugee migration flows in the Central Mediterranean has been modest, at best. At the same time, these policies have generated a permanent increase in daily mortality rates in the Central Mediterranean, having grown by more than 4 deaths per day. Finally, I investigate whether variations in mortality are sufficient to offset migration flows. Increases in mortality rates, however, are only accompanied by a short-term negative displacement effect, as migration attempts are delayed by increases in absolute mortality, rather than being prevented.

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“…Empirical studies have shown that country-wide conflicts like the Cuban revolution and military takeovers in South America typically result in migration abroad, while localized areas of crime and violence lead to internal migration [37][38][39]. Ibáñez and Vélez [38] find evidence that crime and violence forced Colombians to migrate within the country, while Rodriguez and Villa [40] find evidence that the risk of kidnappings motivates households to send some of their members abroad. Recently in the US, the news media has reported extensively on the relatively recent outmigration of upper-middle and high income migrants from Mexico, the so-called "narco-refugees. "…”

Section: Network Health Crime and Migrationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Beyond Networks: Health, Crime, and Migration in Mexico

Martinez

2014

International Journal of Population Research

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Two rounds of a longitudinal survey from Mexico, representative at the national, urban, rural, and regional level, are used to examine the determinants of local, domestic, and international migration. Aside from the typical covariates in the migration decision, this study considers health conditions, crime, and individual's perspectives on life as explanatory variables. Coefficient estimates for most health variables do not offer significant support to the healthy migrant hypothesis. In terms of crime, the results suggest that females respond to worsening safety conditions in Mexico by migrating domestically, but not abroad. The decision to migrate domestically or abroad for males is not statistically correlated with increases in crime. Overall, having access to international migration networks continues to play a significant role in the decision to migrate to the US.

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Kidnap risks and migration: evidence from Colombia

Cited by 12 publications

References 11 publications

Violence and migration: evidence from Mexico’s drug war

Violence and migration: evidence from Mexico’s drug war

#Portichiusi: The Human Costs of Migrant Deterrence in the Mediterranean

Beyond Networks: Health, Crime, and Migration in Mexico

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