Key Findings on Computed Tomography of the Head that Predict Death or the Need for Neurosurgical Intervention From Traumatic Brain Injury

Abstract

Background Traumatic brain injury (TBI) requires rapid management to avoid secondary injury or death. This study evaluated if a simple schema for quickly interpreting CT head (CTH) imaging by trauma surgeons and trainees could be validated to predict need for neurosurgical intervention (NSI) or death from TBI within 24 hours. Methods We retrospectively reviewed TBI patients presenting to our trauma center in 2020 with blunt mechanism and GCS ≤ 12. Primary independent variables were presence of 7 normal findings on CTH (CSF at foramen magnum, open fourth ventricle, CSF around quadrigeminal plate, CSF around cerebral peduncles, absence of midline shift, visible sulci/gyri, and gray-white differentiation). Trauma surgeons and trainees separately evaluated each patient’s CTH, scoring findings as normal or abnormal. Primary outcome was NSI/death in 24 hours. Results Our population consisted of 444 patients; 21.4% received NSI or died within 24 hours. By trainees’ interpretation, 5.8% of patients without abnormal findings had NSI/death vs 52.0% of patients with ≥1 abnormality; attending interpretation was 8.7% and 54.9%, respectively ( P < .001). Sulci/gyri effacement, midline shift, and cerebral peduncle effacement maximized sensitivity and specificity for predicting NSI/death. Considering pooled results, when ≥1 of those 3 findings was abnormal, sensitivity was 77.89%, specificity was 80.80%, positive predictive value was 52.48%, and negative predictive value was 93.07%. Discussion Any single abnormality in this schema significantly predicted a large increase in NSI/death in 24 hours in TBI patients, and three particular findings were most predictive. This schema may help predict need for intervention and expedite management of moderate/severe TBI.

Mortality Predictors for Adult Patients with Mild-to-Moderate Traumatic Brain Injury: A Literature Review

“…Mortality rates that are directly associated with TBI include death resulting from the initial injury in the acute phase, within hours to days of the incident. Research studies have investigated the predictors for immediate impact of TBI on mortality such as the severity of injury, GCS, neuroimaging findings and type of injury [12,13]. For example, studies have shown that subjects with penetrating TBI show higher mortality rates in comparison to blunt TBI [14].…”