Kara-Bogaz-Gol Bay

Kosarev, Aleksey N.; Kostianoy, Andrey G.

doi:10.1007/698_5_011

Cited by 10 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…The water level of the Kara Bogaz Bay is lower than that of the adjoining Caspian Sea, making the water flowing from the Caspian Sea through a narrow strait into the bay where it evaporates fast. As a result, the Kara Bogaz Bay is one of the saltiest water-body on Earth with concentrations up to 350 g/L (Kosarev and Kostianoy 2005). In 1976, the Caspian Sea water level reached its lowest point relative to the changes reported during its immediate past history of nearly four centuries.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Role of Subsurface Brines in Salt Balance: The Case Study of the Caspian Sea and Kara Bogaz Bay

Clauer¹,

Pierret²,

Chaudhuri

2008

Aquat Geochem

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confidence: 99%

Role of Subsurface Brines in Salt Balance: The Case Study of the Caspian Sea and Kara Bogaz Bay

Clauer¹,

Pierret²,

Chaudhuri

2008

Aquat Geochem

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Long‐term Caspian Sea level change

Chen

Pekker

Wilson

et al. 2017

Geophysical Research Letters

104

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Caspian Sea level (CSL) has undergone substantial fluctuations during the past several hundred years. The causes over the entire historical period are uncertain, but we investigate here large changes seen in the past several decades. We use climate model‐predicted precipitation (P), evaporation (E), and observed river runoff (R) to reconstruct long‐term CSL changes for 1979–2015 and show that PER (P‐E + R) flux predictions agree very well with observed CSL changes. The observed rapid CSL increase (about 12.74 cm/yr) and significant drop (~−6.72 cm/yr) during the periods 1979–1995 and 1996–2015 are well accounted for by integrated PER flux predictions of ~+12.38 and ~−6.79 cm/yr, respectively. We show that increased evaporation rates over the Caspian Sea play a dominant role in reversing the increasing trend in CSL during the past 37 years. The current long‐term decline in CSL is expected to continue into the foreseeable future, under global warming scenarios.

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