2014 Oceans - St. John's 2014
DOI: 10.1109/oceans.2014.7003282
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Issues and progress in the prediction of ocean submesoscale features and internal waves

Abstract: Abstract-Data-constrained dynamical ocean modeling for the purpose of detailed forecasting and prediction continues to evolve and improve in quality. Modeling methods and computational capabilities have each improved. The result is that mesoscale phenomena can be modeled with skill, given sufficient data. However, many submesoscale features are less well modeled and remain largely unpredicted from a deterministic event standpoint, and possibly also from a statistical property standpoint. A multi-institution pr… Show more

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Cited by 13 publications
(11 citation statements)
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“…Finite-amplitude nonlinear effects, which we neglect in this subsection, are important where internal tides produce strong currents (e.g., the South China Sea; Alford et al 2015) and/or small-scale variability (Zhang and Duda 2013;Duda et al 2014). Ignoring finiteamplitude nonlinear terms, the inviscid, hydrostatic, Boussinesq equations of motion are…”
Section: A Unforced and Linear Dynamicsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Finite-amplitude nonlinear effects, which we neglect in this subsection, are important where internal tides produce strong currents (e.g., the South China Sea; Alford et al 2015) and/or small-scale variability (Zhang and Duda 2013;Duda et al 2014). Ignoring finiteamplitude nonlinear terms, the inviscid, hydrostatic, Boussinesq equations of motion are…”
Section: A Unforced and Linear Dynamicsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Temporal and spatial variability of stratification, complex bathymetry, the strength of inertial oscillations, geostrophic currents, and mesoscale eddies have all been shown to interact with internal tide generation and propagation and contribute to their unpredictability (e.g., Huang et al, ; Kerry et al, , ; Rainville & Pinkel, ; Zilberman et al, ; Zaron & Egbert, ). In addition, interference from multiple internal tide generation sites and horizontal plane propagation effects may also lead to unpredictability (e.g., Buijsman et al, ; Duda et al, ; Kurapov et al, ). In coastal regions, small‐scale bathymetric variations, stratification variability from wind‐driven processes, buoyancy input from riverine runoff, and shoaling remotely generated internal tides can modify local internal tide generation and propagation (e.g., Martini et al, ; Nash et al, ; Nash, Kelly, et al, ).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Understanding and working around these limits of modern DA models is at the forefront of predictive ocean acoustics, for example, in cataloging uncertainty (Lermusiaux et al 2010). Note that methods to infill DA-modeled areas with nonhydrostatic internal waves are currently being examined for accuracy (Duda et al 2014b). …”
Section: Deterministic Statistical and Analytic Feature Modelsmentioning
confidence: 99%