2017
DOI: 10.1093/geronb/gbx067
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Is the Association Between Late Life Morbidity and Disability Attenuated Over Time? Exploring the Dynamic Equilibrium of Morbidity Hypothesis

Abstract: In agreement with the dynamic equilibrium of morbidity hypothesis, this study concludes that the morbidity-disability associations among the Swedish older adults largely waned between 1992 and 2011.

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Cited by 9 publications
(16 citation statements)
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“…The onset of more burdensome symptoms is delayed in those who have already had diseases [30] and the function of vital organs get declined slowly over time [31]. The clinical improvement and healthier behavior, education, and better living environment reduce mortality rate, leading to the reduction of severity of the chronic disease, slowing its rate of progression, and minimizing the effects of severe health problems on mortality but increasing the prevalence of disease [32][33][34][35]. Thus, the number of people living with highlymorbid or severe-health conditions gets relatively constant over time, whereas, the prevalence of people with mild and moderate disability or non-lethal impairment increases [29,[36][37][38][39].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The onset of more burdensome symptoms is delayed in those who have already had diseases [30] and the function of vital organs get declined slowly over time [31]. The clinical improvement and healthier behavior, education, and better living environment reduce mortality rate, leading to the reduction of severity of the chronic disease, slowing its rate of progression, and minimizing the effects of severe health problems on mortality but increasing the prevalence of disease [32][33][34][35]. Thus, the number of people living with highlymorbid or severe-health conditions gets relatively constant over time, whereas, the prevalence of people with mild and moderate disability or non-lethal impairment increases [29,[36][37][38][39].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We used the robust sandwich estimators of variance to correct the standard errors of the Poisson regression models which are known to produce wider CIs. Poisson regression as a viable alternative to logistic regression was previously demonstrated in the context of a binary outcome of common prevalence i.e., > 10% [ 41 , 42 ]. Because psychological distress was highly prevalent in our data (47%), we preferred the RRs over the odds ratios (OR) which would have inflated the relative risks.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Finally, a third conjecture by Manton [11] proposes that, as a consequence of multiple advances, principally medical innovations, most diseases will be controlled at early stages of their progression thus reducing the average severity of chronic conditions and lead to a "dynamic equilibrium" with no systematic compression or expansion of morbidity [11,12].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Furthermore, a number of studies find a combination of trends such as a decline of time spent with functional limitations occurring simultaneously with an increase in the duration of chronic diseases. Finally, there is also evidence for shifting landscapes over time in the same population, the result of a replacement of conditions that produce compression by those sustaining expansion or vice-versa [12].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%