Investment-sectoral model of industrial policy: key tasks and solutions

Obolenskaya, Ludmila

doi:10.17213/2312-6469-2021-5-81-95

Cited by 2 publications

(3 citation statements)

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“…Выступая на традиционной пресс-конференции в конце 2021 г., Президент Российской Федерации В. Путин обозначил три драйвера макроэкономического роста 1 . Первый -сбережения населения; второй -развитие инфраструктуры, финансируемое как напрямую из бюджета, так и через нацпроекты; третий -повышение производительности труда, что нашло отражение в запуске соответствующего национального проекта.…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

“…Инвестиционной составляющей роста отводится существенное место в научных исследованиях и прогнозах [1][2][3]. Так, в одной из работ инвестиции в основной капитал, наряду с вложениями в человеческий капитал, обозначены как первичные драйверы развития [4].…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

“…Так, в одной из работ инвестиции в основной капитал, наряду с вложениями в человеческий капитал, обозначены как первичные драйверы развития [4]. При этом анализируются возможные источники дополнительных инвестиций и вложений 1 Путин назвал драйверы роста российской экономики. URL: https://национальныепроекты.рф/news/putin-nazval-drayveryrosta-rossiyskoy-ekonomiki (дата обращения: 27.04.2023).…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

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Drivers of Russian Industrial Growth in the Face of New Reality

Obolenskaya,

Abdikeev,

Abrosimova

2024

Mir novoj jekonomiki

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The opportunities for Russia’s economic growth substantiate the relevance of the research in the current conditions. The authors analyze the scientific literature and summarize the approaches to the “locomotives” or “drivers” of growth. In line with the reviewed studies, the authors use the sectoral approach. This considers the important investments presented in different approaches. The purpose of the paper is to identify the sectors of the Russian manufacturing industry that could, with certain government support, act as locomotives of economic growth in the medium and long term. The authors considered the locomotive industries in relation to two interrelated tasks of the investment model of growth. The study uses methods and tools of economic, logical, cause-and-effect analysis, content analysis, as well as forecasting and statistical assessments. The work has identified two groups of engine industries, using forecast-statistical estimates reflecting the impact of external sanctions on the Russian economy. The practical significance of the study is to define the growth driver industries for the further design of measures for the strategic development of these industries.

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Section: Introductionunclassified

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Drivers of Russian Industrial Growth in the Face of New Reality

Obolenskaya,

Abdikeev,

Abrosimova

2024

Mir novoj jekonomiki

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Structural-hierarchical approach to the investment model of economic growth

Obolenskaya,

Bekulova

2023

Национальная Безопасность / Nota Bene

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The subject of the research is the investment model of economic growth, which in today's Russia is given significant attention at the government level. In a number of scientific studies, investments are interpreted as a significant factor of economic security. In line with this topic, the goal is to form an investment growth model that combines national economic growth goals, investment objectives, growth-driving industries, conditions and regulatory influences into a single structure. The article uses methods and means of structural, economic, causal analysis and predictive statistical estimates. The novelty of the research consists in substantiating and developing an investment model of economic growth in the form of a hierarchical structure that includes five levels: target level, task level, industry, factor and regulatory levels. The possibilities of filling the levels are shown by the example of Russia, taking into account today's sanctions realities. Attention is focused on the manufacturing industry. When filling in the industry level, it is concluded that it is advisable to take into account the index of economic complexity as an additional criterion for identifying industries-locomotives of growth. When filling in the factor level of the model, the dual nature of anti-Russian sanctions is shown, which, along with negative factors, also generate certain business opportunities. When filling out the regulatory level, a number of financial and investment measures are allocated (subsidizing investment projects, state support for loans, tax incentives) that are in demand by Russian business under sanctions. In terms of the country's technological security, industries are cited where dependence on imported components is particularly critical. Priority financial and investment support should be directed to overcoming critical dependence. The results obtained can be useful for information and analytical support of industrial policy. The proposed approach to the investment model of growth will help to streamline the basic components of decision-making within a single structure, taking into account cause-and-effect relationships and sanctions realities.

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Investment-sectoral model of industrial policy: key tasks and solutions

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

Drivers of Russian Industrial Growth in the Face of New Reality

Drivers of Russian Industrial Growth in the Face of New Reality

Structural-hierarchical approach to the investment model of economic growth

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