Investigation of Shifts in Time Use Behavior during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Mixed Multiple Discrete-Continuous Extreme Value Approach with Panel GPS Data

Abstract

Typical patterns of time use and travel behavior have been transformed by the COVID-19 pandemic. The drastic change has been documented in several studies to date, especially in the realm of transport, which have asked respondents about how their behavior has changed compared with their prepandemic routines. This work complements those efforts, offering a valuable evaluation of the decision-making process behind choosing which activities to engage in and for how long. A mixed multiple discrete-continuous extreme value (MMDCEV) model was applied to panel GPS data collected between September 2019 and October 2020. The estimation results uncovered how different demographic and mobility tool ownership characteristics affected the choice of activities and their duration. Additional interaction effects of different time periods exogenously introduced into the model allowed for the assessment of the differential effects of these components. Our findings revealed that the choice to participate in out-of-home activities strongly differed with respect to prepandemic conditions. Not only were individuals choosing to spend more time at home during the pandemic, but when they did engage in out-of-home activities, it was also for a shorter duration. Notably, age, gender, education level, and income all affected the propensity to engage in out-of-home activities during the pandemic. These results and their implications for policy as we try to plan for the “new normal” daily life are discussed.

An extreme value analysis of daily new cases of COVID-19 for sixteen countries in west Africa

“…Enriquez et al 6 fitted the Gumbel distribution to daily new cases from Argentina, Brazil, China, Colombia, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Iran, Italy, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Winkler et al 7 investigated shifts in time use behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic.…”