Investigation of Aircraft Conflict Resolution Trajectories under Uncertainties

Abstract

As air traffic intensity increases and stochastic uncertainties, such as wind direction and speed, continue to impact air traffic controllers’ workload significantly, airlines are increasingly pressured to reduce costs by flying via straighter/more direct trajectories. Due to these changes, it is important to search for new means/solutions for aircraft conflict resolution to ensure the required level of safety and rational flight trajectory. Such a solution could be the implementation of Dubin’s method of flight trajectories. This paper aims to propose and deeply analyze a new mathematical model for two-aircraft conflict resolution where the Dubins method is applied in a dynamic conflict scenario. In this model, at a certain moment, the flight trajectory of one aircraft follows a path similar to a moving circle’s tangential line. Upon that, the conflict detection and resolution (CDR) model considers wind uncertainty. The proposed CDR method could be applied when uncertainty such as wind direction and speed are inconstant (stochastic) throughout the simulation.