Investigating the seasonal SST Predictability in the Northern Tropical Atlantic Ocean in an ensemble prediction system
Ting Liu,
Chunzai Wang,
Jiao Yang
et al.
Abstract:The present study comprehensively investigates the practical and intrinsic predictability of the sea surface temperature (SST) in the Northern Tropical Atlantic (NTA) based on the 138-year-long coupled hindcasts with a recently developed seasonal ensemble prediction system. This system can yield skillful deterministic predictions for the prominent warm and cold events at least 6 months ahead. Notably, it excels in providing probabilistic predictions for below- and above-normal events rather than for neutral ev… Show more
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