Inverse Problem for Identification of Infectivity and Recovery Rates in SIR Epidemic Models as Functions of Time Illustrated with Corona Virus Dynamics up to July 09, 2020
Abstract:This work deals with the inverse problem in epidemiology based on a SIR model with time-dependent infectivity and recovery rates, allowing for a better prediction of the long term evolution of a pandemic. The method is used for investigating the COVID-19 spread by first solving an inverse problem for estimating the infectivity and recovery rates from real data. Then, the estimated rates are used to compute the evolution of the disease. The time-depended parameters are estimated for the World and several countr… Show more
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