Intraurban social risk and mortality patterns during extreme heat events: A case study of Moscow, 2010-2017

Земцов, Степан; Shartova, Natalia; Varentsov, Mikhail; Konstantinov, Pavel; Kidyaeva, Vera; Shchur, Aleksey; Timonin, Sergey; Grishchenko, Mikhail

doi:10.1016/j.healthplace.2020.102429

Cited by 20 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 69 publications

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“…The most at-risk groups include young children, pregnant women, the elderly, people with disabilities and limited mobility, people whose professional activity is associated with outdoor activities, and people with low income [81,85,86,91,106,117,118,120,121,125,131,134,139,[148][149][150][151][152][153][154][155][156]. People living in urban areas of large cities with heavy traffic, where Urban Heat Island (UHI) is developed, can also be attributed to high-risk group [85,128,140,157,158]. For example, high temperatures annually cause from 1% to 10% of deaths among elderly in Europe, although there is a lot of uncertainty in the calculation of years of life lost [46].…”

Section: Temperature Waves and Human Healthmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It is well-known that urban temperatures increase dramatically because of climate variability. The main reasons could be expressed as follows: artificial heat from urban transport system, other industrial activities due to the consumption of fossil fuels; heat flow from buildings; replacement of natural land cover by artificial with different thermal properties; population growth and population ageing, which is manifested in Urban Heat Island effect [63,76,85,127,128,140,157,158,202]. Whilst excessive urban heat from UHI aggravates the effect of extremely high temperatures on human health, cold is estimated to play an equally important role [157,158].…”

Section: Urban Heat Island Effectmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…As an example, the danger of heat extremes for public health was particularly evident in August 2003 in Western Europe, when the heat wave had caused over 70,000 additional deaths [1,27,28,47,68,83,119]. In 2010, a "mega heatwave" with maximum temperatures up to 40°C and the combined effect of heat and smoke from numerous wildfires, covered Eastern Europe, the European part of Russia and southern Siberia [47]; estimates for the death toll were 55,000 in Russia and 11,000 in Moscow, with 15 billion USD of total economic loss, which was near 1% Russian gross domestic product [5,10,20,21,23,24,28,35,42,47,51,61,93,108,114,128,138]. According to World Health Organization, in the European region (43 countries) in the period from 2071 to 2099, heat waves could lead to 47-117,000 additional deaths annually [77].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Health Risks to the Russian Population from Temperature Extremes at the Beginning of the XXI Century

Grigorieva

Revich

2021

Atmosphere

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Climate change and climate-sensitive disasters caused by climatic hazards have a significant and increasing direct and indirect impact on human health. Due to its vast area, complex geographical environment and various climatic conditions, Russia is one of the countries that suffers significantly from frequent climate hazards. This paper provides information about temperature extremities in Russia in the beginning of the 21st century, and their impact on human health. A literature search was conducted using the electronic databases Web of Science, Science Direct, Scopus, and e-Library, focusing on peer-reviewed journal articles published in English and in Russian from 2000 to 2021. The results are summarized in 16 studies, which are divided into location-based groups, including Moscow, Saint Petersburg and other large cities located in various climatic zones: in the Arctic, in Siberia and in the southern regions, in ultra-continental and monsoon climate. Heat waves in cities with a temperate continental climate lead to a significant increase in all-cause mortality than cold waves, compared with cities in other climatic zones. At the same time, in northern cities, in contrast to the southern regions and central Siberia, the influence of cold waves is more pronounced on mortality than heat waves. To adequately protect the population from the effects of temperature waves and to carry out preventive measures, it is necessary to know specific threshold values of air temperature in each city.

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Section: Temperature Waves and Human Healthmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Urban Heat Island Effectmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Health Risks to the Russian Population from Temperature Extremes at the Beginning of the XXI Century

Grigorieva

Revich

2021

Atmosphere

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“…A great deal of information remains in original forms at the places of registration. Municipal statistics are generally very poorly developed and represent the situation only in two main cities, Moscow and St. Petersburg [ 33 ]. Understanding the causes of health inequalities requires considering the social determinants of health [ 34 ], however, many indicators about population lifestyle and social status are simply not available in Russia.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Health disparities in Russia at the regional and global scales

Shartova

Тикунов

Chereshnya

2021

Int J Equity Health

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Background The capacity for health comparisons, including the accurate comparison of indicators, is necessary for a comprehensive evaluation of well-being in places where people live. An important issue is the assessment of within-country heterogeneity for geographically extensive countries. The aim of this study was to assess the spatial and temporal changes in health status in Russia and to compare these regional changes with global trends. Methods The index, which considers the infant mortality rate and the male and female life expectancy at birth, was used for this purpose. Homogeneous territorial groups were identified using principal component analysis and multivariate ranking procedures. Trend analysis of individual indicators included in the index was also performed to assess the changes over the past 20 years (1990–2017). Results The study indicated a trend towards convergence in health indicators worldwide, which is largely due to changes in infant mortality. It also revealed that the trend of increasing life expectancy in many regions of Russia is not statistically significant. Significant interregional heterogeneity of health status in Russia was identified according to the application of typological ranking. The regions were characterized by similar index values until the mid-1990s. Conclusions The strong spatial inequality in health of population was found in Russia. While many regions of Russia were comparable to the countries in the high-income group in terms of GDP, the progress in health was less pronounced. Perhaps this can be explained by intraregional inequality, expressed by significant fluctuations in income levels. Trial registration Not applicable.

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“…There were close to 11 000 excess deaths from non-accidental causes (predominantly temperature and air pollution) during this period, mainly among people older than 65 years. Increased risks (Zemtsov et al, 2020) also occurred in younger age groups (Shaposhnikov et al, 2014). Thus, the main goal of the study is the assessment of modern bioclimatic conditions for determining the level of comfort in large Russian cities based on the observations at meteorological stations.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Summer thermal comfort in Russian big cities (1966-2015)

Konstantinov¹,

Tattimbetova²,

Varentsov³

et al. 2021

Geographica Pannonica

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The main goal of the study is the assessment of modern bioclimatic conditions (1966-2015) for determining the level of comfort in large Russian cities based on the observations at the meteorological stations, including Physiological Equivalent Temperature (PET) for the main extent of thermal comfort. According to the distribution of thermal stress events (calculated for meteorological fix hours, 8 times per day) the authors created the comfort diagram for each city during daytime heat wave period and evaluated their comfort conditions. In the current research we are operating with WMO climatic data for eleven biggest cities of the Russian Federation: from the European part (Moscow, Saint-Petersburg, Ekaterinburg, Voronezh, Volgograd, Kazan, Nizhny Novgorod, Perm, Ufa) and from Siberia (Omsk and Krasnoyarsk). The most interesting result of the comparison of the long-period (50 years) urban trends (PET-index and Air Temperature) in different parts of Russia is its extraordinary cross-shaped form in Moscow (in other cities the trends lines are practically parallel to each other). It means that at the level of the average annual values, only in Moscow the PET index (and, hence, potentially the thermal stress) grows faster than the regional climate warms. In other cities this tendency is much weaker (N.Novgorod) or not significant. This interesting tendency is caused by both Moscow related urban planning dynamics in post-USSR period and by regional climate dynamics.

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Intraurban social risk and mortality patterns during extreme heat events: A case study of Moscow, 2010-2017

Cited by 20 publications

References 69 publications

Health Risks to the Russian Population from Temperature Extremes at the Beginning of the XXI Century

Health Risks to the Russian Population from Temperature Extremes at the Beginning of the XXI Century

Health disparities in Russia at the regional and global scales

Summer thermal comfort in Russian big cities (1966-2015)

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