Climate is widely recognised as an important determinant of the latitudinal diversity gradient. However, most existing studies make no distinction between direct and indirect effects of climate, which substantially hinders our understanding of how climate constrains biodiversity globally. Using data from 35 large forest plots, we test hypothesised relationships amongst climate, topography, forest structural attributes (stem abundance, tree size variation and stand basal area) and tree species richness to better understand drivers of latitudinal tree diversity patterns. Climate influences tree richness both directly, with more species in warm, moist, aseasonal climates and indirectly, with more species at higher stem abundance. These results imply direct limitation of species diversity by climatic stress and more rapid (co-)evolution and narrower niche partitioning in warm climates. They also support the idea that increased numbers of individuals associated with high primary productivity are partitioned to support a greater number of species.
LetterClimate and the latitudinal tree diversity gradient 247 Figure 4 The effects of forest structural attributes on tree diversity derived from the within-forest plot structural equation modelling analyses. Panels a, b and c at the scale of 20 m 9 20 m, and panels d, e and f at the scale of 50 m 9 50 m. The effect of stem abundance on tree species richness showed a significant latitudinal trend at the scale of 20 m 9 20 m (panel b; P < 0.01, R 2 = 0.27). Standardised path coefficients AE 1 SE are shown; SE's are smaller than the size of the symbol for some forest plots. Colours indicate increasing absolute latitude from pink to turquoise.