International Trade, Political Conflict/Cooperation, and Granger Causality

Reuveny, Rafael; Kang, Heejoon

doi:10.2307/2111801

Cited by 90 publications

(61 citation statements)

References 48 publications

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“…Analysis of individual funds is favored by Balding (2008), who notes that SWFs vary widely in their origin, stated purpose, geography, etc. Reuveny and Kang (1996) find that the direction of causality between trade and political relations can be different across various dyads. Thus, it may be necessary to examine each dyad individually in addition to a pooled examination.…”

Section: Dynamic Causal Relationsmentioning

confidence: 85%

Bilateral political relations and sovereign wealth fund investment

Knill,

Lee,

Mauck

2012

Journal of Corporate Finance

136

100

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Section: Dynamic Causal Relationsmentioning

confidence: 85%

Bilateral political relations and sovereign wealth fund investment

Knill,

Lee,

Mauck

2012

Journal of Corporate Finance

136

100

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“…The obtained quarterly series from 1948 to 1992 is further aggregated to obtain annual CC. Azar and Havener (1976), Goldstein (1992), Polachek (1992Polachek ( , 1997, and Reuveny and Kang (1996b) provide technical details on COPDAB and WEIS data. 10.…”

Section: Appendix: Data Sourcesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Other analysts use a continuous measure of CC, where actions range from war and disputes on one side to joining alliances and peace on the other. Reuveny andKang (1996a, 1998) find that the Granger causality between BT and a continuous measure of CC is bidirectional. Their results, and the results of both types of studies above, suggest a need for a simultaneous-equations model (SEM) between BT and CC.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Simultaneous‐Equations Model of Trade, Conflict, and Cooperation

Reuveny

Kang

2003

Rev International Economics

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A simultaneous-equations model is developed for the reciprocal relationship among bilateral trade value, conflict, and cooperation by modeling the actions of exporters, importers, and governments. The model is estimated separately for each of the dyads among the US, the USSR, China, Japan, and (West) Germany for the yearly data from 1948 to 1992. The direction of the effects of conflict or cooperation on trade and that of trade on conflict or cooperation are generally mixed, as expected. Certain reciprocal relationship patterns emerge depending on whether countries belong to the East or West block.

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“…Polachek (1980), Pollins (1989), and Reuveny and Kang (1996b), for instance, find that bilateral political relations are interconnected with economic relations. Analysis of both political and economic variables in an extended model appears to be a promising avenue for future research.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Moore (1995) claims both monthly and quarterly data are appropriate. Rajmaira and Ward (1990), Ward and Rajmaira (1992), and Reuveny and Kang (1996b) use quarterly data. We also use quarterly data in this study.…”

Section: Data and Measuresmentioning

confidence: 99%

An exploration of multi‐country political conflict/cooperation interdependence

Kang¹,

Reuveny²

2000

International Interactions

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Previous investigations of dynamic conflict actions and reactions among major countries have generally assumed the unit of analysis to be either a dyad or a triad. Our objective of the papais to explore this assumption. The empirical analysis employs quarterly political conflict/cooperation among the United States, the (former) Soviet Union, China, Japan, and (West) Germany from 19S0 to 1991. The model consists of a system of dynamic multiple regression equations. Various groups formed among mese countries are tested to find out whether they can be considered an autonomous unit of analysis. The analysis reveals several groups of countries whose political relations can be considered to be autonomous. In particular, either the United States-the Soviet Union dyad or the United States-the Soviet Union-China triad is not an appropriate, autonomous unit of analysis in dynamic conflict 129 Downloaded by [North Dakota State University] at 17:01 07 December 2014 130 H. KANG AND R. REUVENY action-reaction models, because these countries are significantly influenced by the presence of other countries. New directions for future research are also suggested.

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International Trade, Political Conflict/Cooperation, and Granger Causality

Cited by 90 publications

References 48 publications

Bilateral political relations and sovereign wealth fund investment

Bilateral political relations and sovereign wealth fund investment

A Simultaneous‐Equations Model of Trade, Conflict, and Cooperation

An exploration of multi‐country political conflict/cooperation interdependence

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