“…This important issue has been the focus of an extensive literature on asset prices dating back more than a century. Despite an enormous amount of past efforts, whether future asset price changes can be meaningfully predicted is still a subject of ongoing debates and intensive empirical research (see, for example, Ang and Bekaert, 2007;Campbell and Thompson, 2008;Welch and Goyal, 2008;Rapach et al, 2010;Sekkel, 2011). 1 The literature of asset return predictability has focused on the stock market.…”