2015
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-14-00612.1
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Interannual Variability in the Large-Scale Dynamics of the South Asian Summer Monsoon

Abstract: This study identifies coherent and robust large-scale atmospheric patterns of interannual variability of the South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) in observational data. A decomposition of the water vapor budget into dynamic and thermodynamic components shows that interannual variability of SASM net precipitation (P − E) is primarily caused by variations in winds rather than in moisture. Linear regression analyses reveal that strong monsoons are distinguished from weak monsoons by a northward expansion of the cros… Show more

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Cited by 45 publications
(50 citation statements)
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“…Although both the dynamic and thermodynamic components contribute to the IMR, the contribution of the dynamic part of the moisture flux is greater than the thermodynamic component for both the AMO and Atlantic tripole modes. This result is similar to the study by Walker et al (2015) showing that the dynamic part of the moisture flux is dominant, in general, on interannual timescale.…”
Section: Mechanism For Atlantic Tripole-monsoon Relationsupporting
confidence: 91%
“…Although both the dynamic and thermodynamic components contribute to the IMR, the contribution of the dynamic part of the moisture flux is greater than the thermodynamic component for both the AMO and Atlantic tripole modes. This result is similar to the study by Walker et al (2015) showing that the dynamic part of the moisture flux is dominant, in general, on interannual timescale.…”
Section: Mechanism For Atlantic Tripole-monsoon Relationsupporting
confidence: 91%
“…Following the approach of our previous work on the interannual variability of the SASM [ Walker et al , ], we define the SASM region as 10–30°N, 60–100°E (Figure S1, further details in the supporting information) and we analyze seasonal transitions in its large‐scale atmospheric moisture budget, given by MFC=0psp·(boldu1emq)normaldpg=PE+∂w∂t where MFC is the horizontal moisture flux convergence integrated from the surface to the top of the atmosphere, ∇ p ·() the horizontal divergence in pressure coordinates, u = ( u , v ) the horizontal wind vector, q the specific humidity, P the precipitation rate, E the evaporation rate, and w=0psqnormaldpg the total precipitable water. With negligible storage ∂ w / ∂ t (e.g., Figure a), the dominant balance in the SASM region is between MFC and net precipitation ( P ‐ E ).…”
Section: Sasm Onset and Withdrawal Indexmentioning
confidence: 58%
“…It confirms the dominant role of the dynamic processes in regulat- ing the precipitation change in SWC. Indeed, the interannual variation in the SASM net precipitation (within the Arabian Sea-Indian Subcontinent-BOB) is also dominated by the dynamic processes (Walker et al, 2015). This suggests that the dominant role played by the dynamic processes in regulating moisture transport and regional precipitation not only validates in SWC but prevails over a quite large area.…”
Section: Thermodynamic and Dynamic Control Of Moisture Transportmentioning
confidence: 99%