2020
DOI: 10.3390/su12041396
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Integration of Boosted Regression Trees and Cellular Automata—Markov Model to Predict the Land Use Spatial Pattern in Hotan Oasis

Abstract: The simulation and prediction of the land use changes is generally carried out by cellular automata—Markov (CA-Markov) model, and the generation of suitable maps collection is subjective in the simulation process. In this study, the CA-Markov model was improved by the Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) to simulate land use to make the model objectively. The weight of ten driving factors of the land use changes was analyzed in BRT, in order to produce the suitable maps collection. The accuracy of the model was veri… Show more

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Cited by 12 publications
(9 citation statements)
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“…The Kappa Coefficient (KC) is a statistical measure that compares observed and expected accuracy, which would be the accuracy if predictions were made randomly. It accounts for the possibility of a correct prediction occurring by chance, providing a more robust view of the model's performance, especially in cases where class distribution is imbalanced [77,78]. Sensitivity and specificity are essential metrics for evaluating binary classification models.…”
Section: Model Evaluation and Accuracy Assessmentmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The Kappa Coefficient (KC) is a statistical measure that compares observed and expected accuracy, which would be the accuracy if predictions were made randomly. It accounts for the possibility of a correct prediction occurring by chance, providing a more robust view of the model's performance, especially in cases where class distribution is imbalanced [77,78]. Sensitivity and specificity are essential metrics for evaluating binary classification models.…”
Section: Model Evaluation and Accuracy Assessmentmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Modeling and geo-visualization help visualize likely land cover transitions in advance and hence emerged as indispensable tools to ensure effective landscape management [18]. The endeavor helps identify areas likely to undergo changes, which helps in understanding potential environmental impacts [19][20][21][22].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This issue causes a more serious problem to emerge, that is, the accelerating rate of urban expansion in most parts of the world, insofar as it is predicted that the world's urban areas will have tripled between 2000 and 2030 (Khamis et al 2018;McDonnell and Hahs 2015;Southon et al 2017). The rapid urban expansion has led to a variety of complex problems, such as increasing informal settlements, air pollution, deforestation, soil erosion, and climate change (Kamusoko and Gamba 2015;Wang et al 2020;Xu et al 2019).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%