2011
DOI: 10.3390/f2020474
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Insect Pests in Future Forests: More Severe Problems?

Abstract: Abstract:A common concern is that damage by insects will increase in forests as a consequence of climate change. We are assessing the likelihood of this predicted outcome by examining how other factors (especially changes in forest management practices) may interact with effects of climate change. Here we describe the strategies for improving understanding of the causes of insect outbreaks and predicting the likelihood of insect-mediated damage increasing in the future. The adopted approaches are: (i) analyses… Show more

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Cited by 26 publications
(25 citation statements)
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“…The original ALS data was thinned with simple random sampling procedure at 10% intervals and calculations of the ALS metrics and estimations of defoliation were made of the thinned data. Pulse densities of 20,18,16,14,12,10,8,6,4, and 2 pulses/m 2 were simulated and tested. The thinning, calculation of ALS metrics and classifications were repeated 10 times to provide more stability in the results.…”
Section: Simulation Of Pulse Densitiesmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The original ALS data was thinned with simple random sampling procedure at 10% intervals and calculations of the ALS metrics and estimations of defoliation were made of the thinned data. Pulse densities of 20,18,16,14,12,10,8,6,4, and 2 pulses/m 2 were simulated and tested. The thinning, calculation of ALS metrics and classifications were repeated 10 times to provide more stability in the results.…”
Section: Simulation Of Pulse Densitiesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…During global warming, increases in stress factors and patterns of insect outbreaks have been predicted [8][9][10][11][12]. Due to rapid responses to elevating temperatures, pest insects can flexibly change their survival, development, reproduction, dispersal and geographic distribution [13][14][15][16].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…According to the projections of climatic change impacts, distribution of forest pest insects, as well as insect-induced damage will gradually shift towards northern latitudes. This climate-driven phenomenon has already been evident with pine sawflies [2,3], moths [4,5] and bark beetles [6,7]. Rapidly increasing forest disturbances give rise to a threat for forest health and substantial economic losses [8].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…(Hymenoptera: Diprionidae) can reach up to $40·ha -1 , and by the common pine sawfly (Diprion pini L.) (Hymenoptera: Diprionidae) up to $310·ha -1 (Lyytikäinen-Saarenmaa and Tomppo 2002). As a consequence of climate change, insect outbreaks are predicted to become more frequent (Björkman et al 2011;Netherer and Schopf 2012). Insect populations may experience increased survival, development, reproduction, and dispersal rates due to increasing temperatures (Logan et al 2003;Lindner et al 2010).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%