Chance has somewhat different meanings in different contexts, and can be taken to
be either ontological (as in quantum indeterminacy) or epistemological (as in stochastic
uncertainty). Here I argue that, whether or not it stems from physical indeterminacy,
chance is a fundamental biological reality that is meaningless outside the context of
knowledge. To say that something happened by chance means that it did not happen by
design. This of course is a cornerstone of Darwin’s theory of evolution: random
undirected variation is the creative wellspring upon which natural selection acts to
sculpt the functional form (and hence apparent design) of organisms. In his essay
Chance & Necessity, Jacques Monod argued that an intellectually
honest commitment to objectivity requires that we accord chance a central role in an
otherwise mechanistic biology, and suggested that doing so may well place the origin of
life outside the realm of scientific tractability. While that may be true, ongoing
research on the origin of life problem suggests that abiogenesis may have been possible,
and perhaps even probable, under the conditions that existed on primordial earth.
Following others, I argue that the world should be viewed as causally open, i.e.
primordially indeterminate or vague. Accordingly, chance ought to be the default
scientific explanation for origination, a universal ‘null hypothesis’ to be
assumed until disproven. In this framework, creation of anything new manifests freedom
(allowing for chance), and causation manifests constraint, the developmental emergence of
which establishes the space of possibilities that may by chance be realized.