Influenza Hospitalisations in England during the 2022/23 Season: do different data sources drive divergence in modelled waves? A comparison of surveillance and administrative data
Jonathon Mellor,
Rachel Christie,
James Guilder
et al.
Abstract:Background Seasonal influenza places a substantial burden annually on healthcare services. Policies during the COVID-19 pandemic limited the transmission of seasonal influenza, making the timing and magnitude of a potential resurgence difficult to ascertain and important to forecast its impact. Methods We have developed a hierarchical generalised additive model (GAM) for the short-term forecasting of hospital admissions with a positive test for the influenza virus sub-regionally across England. The model incor… Show more
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