Influence of climatic conditions on fire risk in Djerdap National Park (Serbia): A case study of September 2011

Zivanovic, V Stanimir; Tosic, A Ivana

doi:10.2298/tsci190905094z

Cited by 4 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 13 publications

(16 reference statements)

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“…For the analysis of climatic elements, the data (1990-2021) from the meteorological station Veliko Gradište [43] was used, located at an altitude of 80 m above sea level and 17 km from Golubac. Golubac and its surroundings are characterized by a moderate-continental climate with significant regional climate differences compared to Zlatibor [48]. The Golubac Fortress is a medieval fortress in the northeastern part of Serbia, on the right bank of the Danube.…”

Section: Study Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

The Heritage Climate Index (HERCI): Development, Assessment and Application for Tourism Purposes in Geoheritage and Cultural Heritage Sites

Durlević,

Čegar,

Dobrić

et al. 2023

Atmosphere

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The development of climate indices and their application can influence the preferences of tourists and the time frame for visiting the locality. This study develops a new Heritage Climate Index (HERCI) that finds its application in assessing climate comfort for visiting geoheritage and cultural heritage objects. The study analyzed the geoheritage site in Western Serbia (Stopića Cave) and the cultural heritage site in Eastern Serbia (Golubac Fortress). The index was developed to represent climatic comfort on a monthly basis and consisted of five climatic elements. The values of the HERCI index were obtained based on the multi-criteria decision-making model—the Best–Worst method (BWM). The results were classified into five classes, depending on the degree of conformity. After a comparative analysis of the index results for four localities and their attendance for the period 2012–2021 and 2019–2022, it was determined that there is a very high level of correlation (>0.9). This is the first study to use the BWM to develop and analyze a climate index. From the aspect of tourism policy, this study significantly contributes to tourism organizations and tourists in better understanding climate comfort and making decisions about the organization’s time frame and realization of the travel.

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Section: Study Areamentioning

confidence: 99%

The Heritage Climate Index (HERCI): Development, Assessment and Application for Tourism Purposes in Geoheritage and Cultural Heritage Sites

Durlević,

Čegar,

Dobrić

et al. 2023

Atmosphere

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“…As droughts have been observed to increase in frequency, intensity and duration in Serbia, more frequent wildfires are expected, especially in south-eastern and eastern Serbia. The Modified Angstrom and Nesterov indices can be used to assess the risk of fire, including Serbia (Ratknić et al, 2019;Živanović and Tošić, 2020). Wildfires affect sustainable forest management and incur a substantial loss to forestry.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An analysis of the profitability of the restitution of sessile oak forests affected by wildfires in Serbia

Ratknić

Ratknic²,

Subić

et al. 2021

Not Bot Horti Agrobo

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Wildfires caused by climate change in Europe have numerous and long-lasting ecological, economic, and social implications for sustainable development (natural environment, economy, and society as a whole). Artificial revitalization of sessile oak forests destroyed by wildfires in Serbia is feasible, but it is quite expensive compared to the spontaneous regeneration. Cost-benefit analysis (an economic approach to comparing and estimating the benefits and shortcomings of a particular business plan, i.e., an investment project by analyzing its costs and benefits) is aimed at finding the best solutions and making the best decisions about the desirability of a project. It was concluded that the investment in the restitution of sessile oak forests could be profitable only if it was based on wood production. Wood production may bear slightly higher interest rates compared to previous estimates which ranged mainly around 3%. This primarily applies to better site classes, while poor quality sites require lower rates. At lower discount rates, it takes more time to reach the break-even point, while the period of time needed to reach the break-even point shortens with higher discount rates. The length of the production cycle plays an important role in determining the investment profitability, especially regarding the relationship between the length of the production cycle and production targets (the type and the quality of wood assortments produced). According to the results of the analysis of intangible benefits and costs, the costs outweigh the benefits, which makes the restitution of sessile oak forests destroyed by fires unacceptable.

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“…Forest fires occur in Serbia almost every year and are a limiting factor in the sustainable development of forestry [27]. Many studies [4,19,20,26,28,29,30,31] have indicated that there is a correlation between the occurrence of forest fires in Serbia and climate conditions. The distribution of the fire-affected areas and the dynamics of fire outbreaks can be correlated with the climatic characteristics of certain areas [25].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forest roads as the key to forest protection against fire

Živanović¹,

Zigar²,

Čipev³

2021

Safety Engineering

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Planning, construction and maintenance of forest roads is extremely important for successful firefighting in a certain area. This study focuses on the current technical infrastructure in the state forests of Serbia. The average openness of forests in Serbia at the end of 2019 was 20.14 m/ha, while 21.89 m/ha was occupied by public roads. In the period from 2011 to 2019, the average openness of state forests with public roads in Serbia decreased by 3.12 m/ha, or by 1.67 m/ha. The openness of forests by forest roads is the largest and optimal in the Vojvodina region (131.5 m/ha) and significantly lower and insufficient in Belgrade regions (0.35 m/ha), Sumadija and Western Serbia (2.8 m/ha), and Southern and Eastern Serbia (1.8 m/ha). Compared to 2011, the openness of forests in 2019 increased in the Vojvodina region and decreased in other regions in Serbia. Forest roads that have asphalt, concrete or cobblestone lanes are the least represented, about 0.27%. The largest representation of forest roads with a base (stone or gravel hard bottom layer) is about 82.7%.

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Influence of climatic conditions on fire risk in Djerdap National Park (Serbia): A case study of September 2011

Cited by 4 publications

References 13 publications

The Heritage Climate Index (HERCI): Development, Assessment and Application for Tourism Purposes in Geoheritage and Cultural Heritage Sites

The Heritage Climate Index (HERCI): Development, Assessment and Application for Tourism Purposes in Geoheritage and Cultural Heritage Sites

An analysis of the profitability of the restitution of sessile oak forests affected by wildfires in Serbia

Forest roads as the key to forest protection against fire

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